Voting Behaviour And The Media- Social Demographic Factors Affecting Voter Behaviour, Ethnicity Flashcards
Is ethnicity an influential predictor of how an individual will vote?
Ethnicity is a major predictor of how a person will vote.
Trends of ethnicity and voting
that black and minority ethnic (BME) voters are far more likely to vote for Labour than for other parties.
Meanwhile, recent elections have also shown that white voters are more likely to vote for the Conservative Party.
Which elections can we look at ?
2010
2015
2017
2019
2010 elections
% BME voting:
Conservative: 16
Labour: 60
Liberal Democrat: 20
2015 election
% BME voting:
Conservative: 23
Labour: 65
Liberal Democrat: 4
2017 election
% BME voting:
Conservative: 19
Labour: 73
Liberal Democrat: 6
2019 Election
% BME voting:
Conservative: 20
Labour: 64
Liberal Democrat: 12
BME
Black and Minority Ethnic
Ethnicity is not significant
+religious factors may play bigger role
+class and economic are more
Influential factors
+certain ethnicities more wealthier
Ethnicity is not significant
+religious factors may play bigger role
+ Research has showed that the BME community is complex in its voting patterns, and that religious factors may play a bigger role. Hindu and Sikh communities appear to vote in higher numbers for the Conservatives.
Ethnicity is not significant
+class and economic are more
Influential factors
+ The concentration of BME voters in lower-paid jobs might mean that support for Labour owes more to economic and class factors than to ethnicity.
Ethnicity is not significant
+certain ethnicities more wealthier
+ Likewise, the fact that many Asian Hindu voters have become wealthier over time might explain a bias towards the Tories.
Ethnicity is significant
+2015 Conservatives
+ Labour maintained its support
+non whites vote for Labour historically
Ethnicity is significant
+2015 Conservatives
+In 2015, the Conservatives enjoyed an 11-point lead over Labour among white voters and this increased in 2019 to 19 points.
Ethnicity is significant
+ Labour maintained its support
+ Labour has maintained its support from BME voters over successive elections, receiving 64% of votes from BME voters in 2019 compared to only 20% for the Tories.
Ethnicity is significant
+non whites vote for Labour historically
+ Non-white voters tend to favour Labour, which stems from two historical reasons:
+ the anti-immigration sentiment of Conservative figures such as Enoch Powell and Norman Tebbit
+the concentration of ethnic minority groups in urban industrial centres such as London, Birmingham and Manchester
Language techniques to use when referencing to voting behaviour of specific social groups:
Non definitive language!!
Usually
Tend to
Often
May be explained by
