W10_02 evidence based medicine 2 Flashcards
note that logic, personal experience, and advice from others are not as good as clinical trials
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recall the case of using the external carotid to bypass the internal carotid, and how that didn’t work
stroke rate didn’t change, but acute deaths increased with this experience
recall the case of suppressing arrhythmias post-MI
anti-arrhythmics killed people because antiarrhythimcs paradoxically cause other arrhythmias!
recall the case of the fluoride, which increased the bone mineral density, but resulted in more fractures
because fluoride increases cancellous bone, but decreases cortical bone
what are the key aspects of RCTs?
1: equal chances of being in treatment or control
2: groups treated equally
3: all subjects accounted for at the end of the study
4: intention to treat
5: double-blind
6: all clinically relevant results reported
7: consider both statistical AND clinical significance
what’s the difference in efficacy and effectiveness?
efficacy: does the Rx work under ideal circumstances?
Effectiveness: does the Rx work in usual circumstances?
name 4 kinds of outcomes of clinical trials
mortality;
morbidity;
symptomatic status;
surrogate markers
what are surrogate outcomes?
parameters that are risk factors for an illness
note: be careful with surrogates. Just because someone’s cholesterol goes down doesn’t mean they will avoid the infarct
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what’s a meta-analysis
quantitative summary of multiple trials for the same therapy, even if their results differ;
convert results into relative risk ratio or odds ratio, then make weighted average
what’s type I error (stats)?
probability of a real difference even if there isn’t one. P-value. Alpha < 0.05 “proves” this
what’s type II error (stats)?
probability of no difference when there really is one. Power. Power is 1-beta. Threshold is > 0.8.
what’s relative risk reduction?
[(risk in untreated)-(risk in treated)] / (risk in untreated)
what’s absolute risk reduction?
risk in untreated - risk in treated
define “number needed to treat”
number of people to have to be treated before 1 person benefits.
NNN = 1/ARR