Lecture 25 Flashcards
disease outbreak: occurrence of cases of a disease in … of what would normally be expected in a defined …, … or …
excess; community; geographical area; season
R0 = … of the virus (i.e. contagion or the number of … expected from one primary case)
reproductive rate; secondary cases
R0 <1 then … and will …
R0 = 1 existing infection causes … but won’t …
R0 > 1 then spreading can cause an … or …
model that assumes everyone is naive (no …, no … from previous encounters with the disease) and that there is no way to control …
declining; die out; new infection; spread; outbreak; epidemic; vaccinations; immunity; disease spread
Ro is a dynamic number that changes depending on context:
- … period (length of time a person is …)
- … rate (rate of contact with … individuals): how many … it takes to make a person sick , number of … individuals (size of population and … from natural causes, number of individuals … and …, … of pathogen, … rate and …), … prevention
- … rate (how fast it can be …): … of transmission (how does it spread- …, …, etc)
infectious; contagious; contact; naive; disease agents; naive; death rate; infected; recovered; virulence; vaccination; effectiveness; contact; transmission; transmitted; mode; airborne; bodily fluids
first case of ebola traced to a … yr old in SE Guinea in Dec. …
2; 2013
isolated cases continued to appear in .., but for most affected regions, the end of Ebola virus … had been declared
2016; transmission
Ebola first identified in …
normally < … cases/yr
no cases reported between …-…
in fall 2014, there was a separate outbreak of a different … of Ebola in DR Congo, seems unrelated to the epidemic in …
1976; 500; 1979; 1994; strain; West Africa
sporadic outbreaks that were very deadly within a community but did not
spread very far
Ebola is a … disease
zoonotic
zoonotic: transmissible between … and …
animals; humans
… percent of all human pathogens are …
60; zoonotic
enzootic cycle: new evidence strongly implicates … as the reservoir hosts of ebola viruses, through the means of local enzootic maintenance and transmission of the virus within …populations remain unknown
bats; bat
epizootic cycle: epizootics caused by ebolaviruses appear .., producing … among non-human primates and duikers and may precede human outbreaks. epidemics caused by ebolaviruses produce .. disease among humans, with the exception of Reston virus which does not produce detectable disease in humans. little is known about how the virus first passes to humans, triggering waves of human to human transmission, and an epidemic
sporadically; high mortality acute
following initial human infection through contact with an infected bat or other wild animal, .. often occurs
human-to-human transmission
human-to-human transmission is a predominant feature of
epidemics