Prospects For Global Population Change

Question 1

What will population do over the best 21st century

Answer 1

Increase by 50%

Unlike 400% I’m
Previous one 100
Years

Slower growth rates.

Question 2

When was population growth rate peaked ?

Answer 2

1960

Fall from 2% to 1%

Question 3

What are the 2 natural drivers of world population growth ?

Answer 3

Fertility rate

Life expectancy

Question 4

Fertility rate in 1960s

Answer 4

5 children per women

Now halved

UN projection that global fertility will be less than 2 by 2100

Question 5

Why does life expectancy increase

Answer 5

Living standards rose.
Healthcare / medical / maternal care improves.
Sanitation.
Food quality.

Question 6

Who helps countries like expectancy to increase

Answer 6

NGOs
Especially in LICs they education / provide money / equipment

Sustainable

Question 7

How much has Europe’s fertility rate dropped by ?

Answer 7

0.7

Question 8

Which continent has the largest fertility rate ?

Answer 8

Africa - 4.7

Question 9

Un forecasts for world population - low / medium / high

Answer 9

High- 16.65 billion 2100

Medium - 10.85 billion 2100

Low - 6.76 billion 2100

Report claims that there is an 80% chance that the actual number of people in 2100 will be between 9.6 and 12.3 billion

Question 10

why has the un revised estimates upwards ?

Answer 10

Fertility rates in Africa falling much slowly that it has done in other developing countries

Made huge different to forecasts 1/4 child more per women equates to 0.60 billion more people by 2100

Question 11

Nigeria’s population

Answer 11

175 million
Africa’s large
Increase by 5 times by 2100 - 900 million

Question 12

Who has a more optimistic approach ?

Answer 12

Applied systems analysis

Pop will peak at 9.4 billion in 2076 and fall to 9 billion by 2100.

Question 13

Why do Applied Systems Analysis predict what they predict. Give 3 reasons

Answer 13

China’s fertility won’t rise again

Nigeria’s pop will only tripled not by 5 times - education

Level of global education especially girls

Question 14

UN forecasts

Answer 14

China’s birth rate will increase from 1.6

Nigeria’s pop
Will increase by 5 times

They don’t take into account education which is crucial

Question 15

Name 4 consensus views - common themes which can be regarded as certainties

Answer 15

1. World pop will continue to slow down.
2. Rapid pop increase in Africa
3. Life expectancy rise
4. Increase in average age