Prospects For Global Population Flashcards
When was the peak of worlds population growth rate ?
1960s
It’s continued to fall from 2% to 1%
Fertility rates in 1960s
5 per women this has now halved
Down ward trend predicted to continue according to UN
By 2100 global fertility rates will be less than 3
Now has globalisation increased life expectancy?
Transfer of capital / products from NGOs
What did the Un do in 2012?
Made 3 possible forecasts for global pop for 2050 and 2100.
There is a 2.51 billion range between different predictions for 2050
Reasons for high fertility scenario?
Lack of education Contraception Disease Poor health Economy dominated by agriculture Culture religion
Reasons for low fertility scenario?
Emancipation of women Better healthcare More people living in urban areas Government policy - one child Less marriage
What are the Applied System Analysis saying ?
Pop will peak at 9.4 billion 2075 and fall below 9 billion by 2100.
- Don’t think china’s fertility rates will rise again
- Nigeria’s pop will triple because of better education
- Education of girls
World pop will continue to…
Slow down
The most rapid pop increase will be in …
Sub Saharan Africa
Name places which many experience pop decline in future ?
China
Parts of Europe and Asia
Average age…
Increased
What will happen to migration in future ?
Remain high
Has less of an impact on pop change than birth and death rate
Great effect in uk and creates high working pop and increases br
How to manage youthful population and high population growth?
Education - free / accessible.
Investment
Library
Healthcare / birth control policies
Contraception / vaccines
How would you manage an aging pop?
Care homes
Leisure for elderly
Increase migrants to help care for elderly
Increase retirement age
Increase taxed
Pro natal polo tied
Means tested pension
How to manage internal migration and sustainable growth of cities
More housing
Education
Investment