6.9 Explain Approaches To Producing Estimates Flashcards
What does Delphi use to estimate and for what ?
Delphi uses a set of experts to independently provide estimates for a task or project
What can the project manager use the Delphi method to estimate
A project manager can use the Delphi method to estimate a projects cost or duration
How does the project manager use the Delphi method to estimate a projects cost or duration ?
By obtaining independent estimates from experts
What would the experts be asked ?
The experts would be asked to anonymously provided an estimate along with their rationale
What happens to the experts estimates and what is provided to experts based on what ?
The estimates are collared and summarised and feedback is provided to the experts based on the results
What happens with the process in the Delphi method ?
The process is repeated until a consensus is reached
What does the Delphi method typically involve and why ?
Multiple rounds of questionnaires and surveys so that overtime the Experts estimates will converge and therefore be more accurate
When is the Delphi method favourable and why ?
The Delphi method is favourable when dealing with complex project as it allows for the intergration of multiple experts opinions which minimised individual biases and assumptions.
What does the Delphi method help find and what can it do ?
It helps find areas of consensus and disagreement which can guide decision making and prioritise areas for further investigation and research
The Delphi method can be a quick way of what ? And what can be challenging using this method ?
Quick way of estimating
Maintaining the large data set can be challenging
What does the analogous method use and why ?
Historical data from previous comparative projects to inform the estimates for a new project
What does the analogous method provide and what does that enable ?
The analogous method provides a high level estimate of the cost of delivering a projects outputs enabling the project sponsor and steering group to understand at high level the project cost and at a basic level understand the project viability
What does the analogous method enable the project sponsor and steering group to understand and at what levels ?
At a high level the projects cost and as a basic level understand the projects viability
As the analogous method is reasonably quick what is it likely to be and when ?
The analogous method is reasonably quick and is likely to be way of getting initial estimates when limited data is available
What else’s can the analogous method help identify and based on what ? And what can it guide ?
Risks and issues based on the experience of previous similar project
Which can guide decision making and risk management