Forecasting Cash Flows Flashcards

1
Q

What is NPV

A

Net Present Value

present value of a project

extended cash flows, discounted at the appropriate risk adjusted rate

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2
Q

NPV Steps

A

Calculate present cashflows of each discounted cashflow

sum the discounted cashflows

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3
Q

how do you decide to do an independent project

A

if the NPV Exceeds zero

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4
Q

how do you decide which project to do if there are two mutually exclusive projects

A

whichever has the highest NPV

if both are negative, don’t do any

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5
Q

what is IRR

A

discount rate that forces the PV of the expected cashflows to equal the initial cashflow

NPV = 0
IRR>WACC = good return

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6
Q

what are normal cashflows

A

one or more negative cashflow inflows, or the reverse

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7
Q

what are non normal cashflows

A

cash flows that are both positive and negative

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8
Q

when can you have more than one IRR?

A

when you have non-normal cashflows

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9
Q

If the NPV and IRR conflict, which do you pick?

A

NPV

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10
Q

What is MIRR

A

regular IRR, but assumes projected cashflows are reinvested at WACC, not the project

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11
Q

Project Value Heiarchy

A

NPV
MIRR
IRR

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12
Q

What is a probability index

A

how much value a project creates per dollar of project cost

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13
Q

what is the profitability index formula?

A

PV of future cashflows / Initial Cost

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14
Q

What is Payback Period

A

number of years required to recover the funds invested in a project

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15
Q

what is a discounted payback

A

payback, but using cashflows discounted at WACC

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16
Q

how do you determine incremental Cashflows?

A

Cashflows with the project - Cashflows without the project

17
Q

in an expansion project, what costs are incremental?

A

Cash
Sales
Revenue
Operating Costs

18
Q

When evaluating a replacement project what do you evaluate

A

cash flow difference becomes cashflow

19
Q

what are sunk costs

A

costs that cannot be recovered, regardless of the acceptance of a project

20
Q

what is an opportunity cost

A

an asset a firm already owns

21
Q

what are externalities

A

impacts of a project on other parts of a business

22
Q

what is cannibalization

A

negative internal externality

23
Q

what are project risks?

A

standalone risk
corporate risk
market risk

24
Q

what is standalone risk

A

uncertainty of cashflows

25
what is corporate risks
project contribution to company cash flows
26
what is market risk?
required return on equity
27
what are some stand alone risk techniques
sensitivity analysis scenario analysis Monte Carlo Scenario