Forecasting Cash Flows Flashcards

1
Q

What is NPV

A

Net Present Value

present value of a project

extended cash flows, discounted at the appropriate risk adjusted rate

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
2
Q

NPV Steps

A

Calculate present cashflows of each discounted cashflow

sum the discounted cashflows

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
3
Q

how do you decide to do an independent project

A

if the NPV Exceeds zero

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
4
Q

how do you decide which project to do if there are two mutually exclusive projects

A

whichever has the highest NPV

if both are negative, don’t do any

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
5
Q

what is IRR

A

discount rate that forces the PV of the expected cashflows to equal the initial cashflow

NPV = 0
IRR>WACC = good return

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
6
Q

what are normal cashflows

A

one or more negative cashflow inflows, or the reverse

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
7
Q

what are non normal cashflows

A

cash flows that are both positive and negative

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
8
Q

when can you have more than one IRR?

A

when you have non-normal cashflows

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
9
Q

If the NPV and IRR conflict, which do you pick?

A

NPV

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
10
Q

What is MIRR

A

regular IRR, but assumes projected cashflows are reinvested at WACC, not the project

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
11
Q

Project Value Heiarchy

A

NPV
MIRR
IRR

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
12
Q

What is a probability index

A

how much value a project creates per dollar of project cost

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
13
Q

what is the profitability index formula?

A

PV of future cashflows / Initial Cost

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
14
Q

What is Payback Period

A

number of years required to recover the funds invested in a project

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
15
Q

what is a discounted payback

A

payback, but using cashflows discounted at WACC

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
16
Q

how do you determine incremental Cashflows?

A

Cashflows with the project - Cashflows without the project

17
Q

in an expansion project, what costs are incremental?

A

Cash
Sales
Revenue
Operating Costs

18
Q

When evaluating a replacement project what do you evaluate

A

cash flow difference becomes cashflow

19
Q

what are sunk costs

A

costs that cannot be recovered, regardless of the acceptance of a project

20
Q

what is an opportunity cost

A

an asset a firm already owns

21
Q

what are externalities

A

impacts of a project on other parts of a business

22
Q

what is cannibalization

A

negative internal externality

23
Q

what are project risks?

A

standalone risk
corporate risk
market risk

24
Q

what is standalone risk

A

uncertainty of cashflows

25
Q

what is corporate risks

A

project contribution to company cash flows

26
Q

what is market risk?

A

required return on equity

27
Q

what are some stand alone risk techniques

A

sensitivity analysis
scenario analysis
Monte Carlo Scenario