Chapter 1 Key Terms Flashcards
the tendency to believe, after learning an outcome, that one would have forseen it
hindsight bias(i knew it all along phenomenon)
thinking we know more than we do
overconfidence
thinking that does not blindly accept arguments and conclusions. rather it examines assumptions, discerns hidden values, evaluates evidence, and assess conclusions
critical thinking
an explanation using an integrated set of principles that organizes observations and predicts behaviors or events
theory
a testable prediction, often implied by a theory
hypothesis
a statement of the procedures (operations) used to define research variables
operational definition
repeating the essence of a research study, usually with different participants in different situations, to see whether the basic finding extends to other participants and circumstances
replication
an observation technique in which on person is studied in depth in the hope of revealing universal principles
case study
a technique for ascertaining the self-reported attitudes or behaviors of people, usually by questioning a representative, random sample of them
survey
the tendency to overestimate the extent to which others share our beliefs and behaviors
false consensus effect
all the cases in a group, from which samples may be drawn for a study
population
a sample that fairly represents a population because each member has an equal chance of inclusion
random sample
observing and recording behavior in naturally occurring situations without trying to manipulate and control the situation
naturalistic observation
a measure of the extent to which two factors vary together, and thus of how well either factor predicts the other
correlation
the mathematical expression of the correlation relationship, ranging from -1 to +1
correlation coefficient