Econ-Chapter 12 Flashcards
When the state spends more than it receives in taxes in one year, it runs a
deficit equal to the amount of spending minus the amount of taxes
federal debt
the total amount that state owes, and the total amount of government bonds outstanding
net public debt
the portion of the debt that the US government owes to others, not itself-is the relevant amount that the state owes
much of the inconsistency comes from politicians wanting to
change the language to obscure their actions
two main common misconceptions
- the announced cut was a cat to a plan, not a cut compared to present
- the announced cut is multiplied by 10 years, whereas the current deficit number is not
the congressional budget office
use static scoring- which assumes that individuals will not change their behavior if taxation or spending changes, and dynamic scoring-looked at the effects of past changes on behavior to forecast the effects of new legislation
the size of debt, compared to the economy was stable during the early 2000s, but then increased during the crisis of 2008 due to
- falling GDP
- the $152 billion stimulus of 2008
since 2008 the ratio increased quickly as spending arose by large amounts due to
- the 778B stimulus package of 2009
- building part of the stimulus into the baseline
- two 8% increases in ordinary spending in 2009
- TARP funds that were send and not repaid
- increases in spending
We spend
- 60% on transfers such as social security, medicare,medical, unemployment insurance, and welfare programs
- 20% on national defense
- 5% on interest on the debt
- 15% on everything else, such as roads, education..
the us government owns some of its own
debt
for purposes of paying benefits, there are
$0 actual dollars in the trust fund
social security was never going to work out in the long run, but was put off by
- the baby boo, after WWII
- The massive entry of women into the workforce
social security payments have increased by
50%
medicare and medicaid have experienced socialization of medicine which has caused costs to rise resulting in
gov. saying that if medicine isn’t socialized then people can’t afford it,
actuaries are making assumptions of governmental accounting such as
- benefits can be paid out of trust funds made up of government bonds(not money)
- politicans make cuts to future benefits early in every year, which would result in less future spending
after the income tax amendment was passed,
taxes fell down to 24%
the substantive tax cuts of kennedy, reagan, and bush..
did not lower revenues as a percentage of GDP
Tax revenues fell with the “dot-com” meltdown of the late 1990s and in the subsequent recession, but
rose again after the bush tax cuts of 2003
the fact that no matter how high rates go, tax revenues stay in the 17-18% range is called
Hauser’s Law
Haulers law implies
that we cannot balance out spending problems with tax increases, above a certain point
proportional tax
is one in which the tax rate is the same at all income levels
progressive tax
is on in which the tax rate rises as income rises
regressive tax
is one in which the tax rate rises as income falls
many claim that though income taxes may be progressive, when one includes payroll taxes, such as social security, unemployment insurance, medicare, and the like, that the total federal tac system is
regressive
it is not true that all federal taxes, taken together are
regressive
if someone wished to improve the economy then they should implement reforms on
- spending
- taxes
- deficits
defecits have costs
- domestically financed government spending = resources are immediately withdrawn from the economy
- foreign financed government spending = resources are withdrawn from the foreign economy immediately, and crowding out affects economy later
- governement spending financed by money creation will create inflation and destabilize the economy as prices cease to reflect value
friedman suggest that
it is inefficient to spend another income on a third person, this will destroy value
plan 2 is the way to go
it would increase productivity and help pay off the long run deficit