Chapter 5 Flashcards
Perceptual biases PRACH
Primacy, Recency, Availability, Contrast, Halo
Primacy Effect
Once a person has formed an initial impression , they maintain it even when presented with concrete evidence that it is false (first impressions)
Belief updating
Initial information affects the conclusion one draws, and this conclusion then impacts later judgements
What can be done to address the primacy effect?
Increasing accountability
Recency effect
Remembering the most recently presented items or experiences (remembering the last items on the list)
How can you guard against the recency effect?
(1) Rehearsing information
(2) Coding, linking the information to something easily retrievable
(3) Imaging, verbal information is linked to visual images
Avaolability Bias
Judgements being based upon what most readily comes into a person’s mind (remembering more of the famous people from a group of random people, plane crashes)
How to guard against making the availability bias mistake?
(1) Make important things easier to remember with repetition
(2) Minimize the influence by describing the topic with vague words
(3) Increase the number of counter explanations
(4) Elaborative interrogation to make people generate their own explanations
Contrast effects
Perception being affected by comparisons with other people
Halo Error
When the rater’s overall positive impression or evaluation strongly influence ratings of specific attributes
Four characteristics of intuition
(1) Nonconscious process
(2) Involving holistic associations
(3) that are produced rapidly
(4) resulting in affectively charged judgments
Hindsight bias
The tendency for individuals with outcome knowledge to claim they would have estimated a probability of occurrence for the reported outcome that is higher than they would have estimated in foresight (without the outcome information)
Overconfidence bias / Hubris
Inflated confidence in how accurate a person’s knowledge or estimstes are
How to avoid the oveconfidence bias?
(1) Assign a trusted follower to critique the decisions
(2) Place limits on the power by having someone else approve decisions
(3) Remind oneself of past decision-making errors
Escalation of Commitment
Individuals continue a failing course of action after receiving feedback that shows it isn’t working (sunk costs fallacy)