Chpt 13: Reasoning (PSY311) Flashcards
Def: Decisions
Processes of making choices between diff alternatives which are based on reasoning & judgements.
Def: Reasoning
process of drawing conclusions.
Our ________ helps with _________.
reasoning, decisions
Def: Inductive reasoning
reasoning based off of one’s observation & reaching conclusions that is solely based on one’s evidence
Strength of argument depends on:
Representativeness of the observations
Number of observations
Quality of observations. - Are they valuable?
Inductive reasoning with scientific discoveries:
Hypotheses & general conclusions
Collection of data taken from participants.
More experiments documenting the same pattern, makes the argument stronger.
Inductive reasoning is used ________ - our lives are based on _________ of what might happen based on the past.
everyday, predictions
__________ are rules of thumb that are likely to provide the correct answer to an issue but it’s not _________.
Heuristics, foolproof
2 most commonly used heuristics are the __________ heuristic & the ___________________ heuristic.
availability, representativeness
Def: Availability heuristic
events more easily recalled are judged as having more probability than those less easily remembered.
The _________ heuristic is something that we use all the time usually ________ error.
Ex: It’s Monday and Matt isn’t home. Your conclusion will most likely be right, he is most likely at work bc he has work on Mondays.
availability, without
Def: Illusory correlations
happen when a relationship between 2 events appears to exist, but in reality, there is no relationship or the relationship is much weaker than it is assumed to be. Can happen when we are expecting 2 things to be related, sometimes they aren’t.
Def: Representative heuristics
probability that A is a member of class B is determined by how well properties of A resemble properties normally associated with B.
If it looks like a whale, swims like a whale, sounds like a whale, it’s probably a whale
How much does one event resemble another?
If there’s a lot of overlap, they are probability related.
The representative heuristic gives us a rule of thumb based on how much _______ we think there is between _________ of an individual & groups they could be a member of.
overlap, features/characteristics
The _________ heuristic can lead to stereotyping which is dangerous.
representative
____________ tends to focus on perceived features of members of a group which are usually negative & not representative of the group as a whole. It’s an example of the ____________________
Stereotyping, representative heuristic not working.
Def: Myside bias
tendency for humans to generate & evaluate evidence & test their hypothesis in a way that is very biased towards their own opinions & attitudes.
Those who believe the earth is flat will often ________ any evidence to the contrary & come up with fantastical explanations as to how images and data are _______ to support their stupid claims.
ignore, fake
Ppl can look at the same data and/or _________ & come to diff conclusions bc of the _________ bias.
evidence, myside
Def: Confirmation bias
tendency to selectively look for info that confirms our hypothesis & overlook info that argues against it.
Especially on social media, we find ourselves in ______ chambers, going thru pages, forums, sites, ew programs, that will probably tell us things that we ________ agree with.
echo, already
Def: Conjunction rule
states that the probability of a conjunction of 2 events cannot be higher than the probability of the single constituents.
Def: Backfire effect
when our belief in a specific viewpoint becomes stronger after seeing evidence or hearing arguments against it.
This is the idea of entrenchment & makes it very hard to get ppl to change their beliefs.