2.5.1 Economic Influences Flashcards
Business cycle
When an economy moves from boom to recession over time.
Boom
When an economy is growing rapidly.
- High levels of consumer spending –> Sales revenue and profits will be high.
- High levels of business confidence and investment as capacity utilisation is high and consumer demand is increasing.
- Prices and costs also tend to rise faster as inflation is high and unemployment is low putting upward pressure on wages.
Recession
Two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth.
- Falling levels of consumer spending means lower sales revenue and profits.
- Falling levels of confidence means business investment will be low, as capacity utilisation is low and consumer demand is falling.
- Costs might start to decrease as inflation is low, and unemployment is high putting downward pressure on wages.
Slump/depression
- Low consumer spending so sales revenue and profits will be low.
- Investment is very unlikely and businesses may have to cut capacity.
- Many business failures.
- Rapidly rising unemployment.
- Prices may start falling.
- Businesses have to cut costs to survive.
Recovery
- Consumers begin to increase spending so sales revenue and profits start to increase.
- Costs will not yet be rising and unemployment is still high so there is no upwards pressure on wages.
- Business investment and confidence may start to increase, but businesses will still be cautious.
Interest rates
The price of borrowing and the reward for saving.
Base rate
The interest rate set by the Bank of England for lending to other banks.
Sets base rate it thinks enables it to meet inflation targets.
Lenders commonly charge interest on borrowing at a higher rate.
Impact of increasing interest rates on consumers
- Save money to increase its wealth.
- Won’t take out long term loans due to higher repayment costs.
- Unlikely to change buying habits of generic products.
- Reduces disposable income.
- May have more value in savings/pensions.
Impact of increasing interest rates on businesses
- Costs will increase due to higher repayment costs.
- Investment decisions - invest abroad or where interest rates are lower.
- Affect consumer spending decisions.
Businesses affected more by interest rate changes
1) Luxury products.
2) Those involved in overseas trade - higher interest rates make products more expensive abroad.
3) Products bought on credit.
Two methods to control demand for goods/services
- Monetary policy (Bank of England): Control demand by increasing/decreasing interest rates.
- Fiscal policy (Government): Control demand by increasing/decreasing taxes and government spending.
Exchange rate
The price of one currency expressed in terms of another.
Strong pound
Imports, cheaper.
Exports, dearer.
Weak pound
Imports, dearer.
Exports, cheaper.
Inflation
A persistent rise in the aggregate price level of an economy (fall in purchasing power of money).
- Demand falls, people spend less.
- Currency looses its value (depreciation).
- Wages rise.
- Depreciation is the opposite.