Role of Exchange Rates Flashcards
What is the direct exchange rate?
Domestic price of one unit of FC
$1.10= 1 Euro
What is the indirect exchange rate:
Foreign currency of one unit of domestic currency
$1 = .909 Euro
How are exchange rates determined?
Free-floating currency- Exchange rate is determined by market forces of supply and demand for a currency
Pegged or movable currency- Exchange rate is fixed by the government, with frequent revisions
Most countries have a free-floating currency
Demand and supply determine the exchange rates
What are currency demand factors?
- Political and economic environment- strong economy increases the demand for the currency
- Relative interest rates- higher rates relative increases investment which increases demand
- Relative inflationary rates- lower rates retain purchasing power which increases demand
- Level of public debt- higher level of debt increases risk of inflation which deters investment and decreases currency demand
- Current account balance- higher deficit (excess imports over exports and investment outflows over investment inflows) increases demand for foreign currency relative to domestic currency
Other factors: (consumer preferences, relative incomes, currency speculation- attempts to make profit on trading in currencies)
What are currency supply factors?
Supply of currency is determined by the country’s Central Bank
US Federal Reserve Bank determine currency supply through monetary policy
What are examples of the US Fed Affecting Exchange Rate:
Supply side: Buying dollars in open market using foreign currency reserves to reduce supply of dollars; Selling dollars would increase supply of dollars
Demand Side: Increase or decrease interest rates to increase or decrease demand for domestic investments , which decreases demand for dollars
What are the consequences for exchange rate changes?
- Currency appreciation: The value of currency increases (becomes stronger). Less domestic currency to buy foreign currency or goods sold in that currency
- Currency deprecation. The value of currency decreases (becomes weaker) it takes more domestic currency to buy foreign currency or goods sold in that currency
What are the consequences of currency appreciation?
- Foreign goods become cheaper for domestic buyers
- Encourages increased domestic efficiencies- in order to compete
- Puts downward pressure on domestic inflation- by keeping prices low
- Makes it difficult for domestic produces to compete in domestic and foreign markets
What are the consequences of currency depreciation?
- Domestic goods become cheaper (increase exports)
- Increased exports increase employment
- Import goods become more expensive
- Drive up cost of foreign inputs (raw materials, components, as well as consumer goods)