Chapter 1: Thinking Clearly with Psychological Science Flashcards
Hindsight Bias
the tendency to believe, after learning an outcome, that one would have foreseen it.
Critical Thinking
thinking that does not blindly accept arguments and conclusions. Rather it examines assumptions, discerns hidden values, evaluates evidence and assesses conclusions.
Theory
an explanation using an integrated set of principles that organizes observations and predicts behaviors or events.
Hypothesis
a testable prediction, often implied by a theory.
Operational definition
a statement of the procedures used to define research variables.
Replication
repeating the essence of a research study, usually with different participants in different situations, to see whether the basic finding extends to other participants and circumstances.
Case study
an observation technique in which one person is studied in depth in the hope of revealing universal principles.
Survey
a technique for ascertaining the self-reported attitudes or behaviors of people, usually by questioning a representative, random sample of them.
False Consensus Effect
the tendency to overestimate the extent to which others share our beliefs and behaviors.
Population
all the cases in a group, from which samples may be drawn for a study.
Random Sample
a sample that fairly represents a population because each member has an equal chance of inclusion.
Naturalistic Observation
observing and recording behavior in naturally occurring situations without trying to manipulate and control the situation.
Correlation Coefficient
a measure of the extent to which two factors vary together, and thus of how well either factor predicts the other.
CORRELATION DOESN’T PROVE CAUSATION! ^.^
Scatterplot
a graphed cluster of dots, each of which represents the values of two variables. The slope of the points suggests the direction of the relationship between the two variables. The amount of scatter suggests the strength of the correlation (little scatter indicates high correlation).
Illusory Correlation
the perception of a relationship where none exists.