4.1.8 - Exchange Rates Flashcards
What Is An Exchange Rate?
Price of one currency, in terms of another.
If There Is Increased Supply For A Currency, What Happens?
The currency gets weaker.
If There Is Decreased Supply For A Currency, What Happens?
The currency gets stronger.
If There Is Increased Demand For A Currency, What Happens?
The currency gets stronger.
If There Is Decreased Demand For A Currency, What Happens?
The currency gets weaker.
What Are Factors That Influence The Exchange Rate?
(6 Points)
~ Imports and exports.
~ Speculation.
~ Relative interest rates.
~ Relative inflation rates.
~ FDI.
~ Quantitative easing.
Describe ‘Imports & Exports’ As A Factor Influencing The Exchange Rate
(2 Points)
~ Less import spending, means less supply of the currency, causing it to get stronger. Vice versa.
~ Less export spending, means less demand of the currency, causing it to get weaker. Vice versa.
Describe ‘Speculation’ As A Factor Influencing The Exchange Rate
(2 Points)
~ Speculation of the currency appreciating, means more demand for the currency now, causing an appreciation now. Vice versa.
~ Speculation of the currency depreciating, means more supply of the currency now, causing a depreciation now. Vice versa.
Describe ‘Relative Interest Rates’ As A Factor Influencing The Exchange Rate
(2 Points)
~ Higher interest rates, means increased flow of hot money, increasing the demand for the currency, causing an appreciation.
~ Lower interest rates, means decreased flow of hot money, increasing the supply for the currency, causing a depreciation.
Describe ‘Relative Inflation Rates’ As A Factor Influencing The Exchange Rate
(2 Points)
~ Higher inflation rate, means higher prices, means less exports, decreasing the demand for a currency, causing a depreciation.
~ Lower inflation rate, means lower prices, means more exports, increasing the demand for the currency, causing an appreciation.
Describe ‘FDI’ As A Factor Influencing The Exchange Rate
(2 Points)
~ Increased FDI, means more demand for the currency, causing an appreciation.
~ Decreased FDI, means less demand for the currency, causing a depreciation.
Describe ‘Quantitive Easing’ As A Factor Influencing The Exchange Rate
QE, increases the supply of a currency, causing a depreciation.
What Areas Of An Economy, Do Changes In Exchange Rates Affect?
(4 Points)
~ Growth and employment.
~ Inflation rate.
~ FDI flows.
~ Current account.
Describe ‘Growth & Employment’ As An Area Of The Economy Affected By Exchange Rate Changes
(4 Points)
~ Depreciation, means export expenditure increases, increasing AD and growth, meaning increased employment.
~ But, causes more expensive imports, meaning rising costs of production, meaning higher prices, lower growth and lower employment.
~ Appreciation, means export expenditure decreases, decreasing AD and growth, meaning decreased employment.
~ But, causes cheaper imports, meaning lower costs, meaning lower prices, higher growth and higher employment.
Describe ‘Inflation Rate’ As An Area Of The Economy Affected By Exchange Rate Changes
(2 Points)
~ Depreciation, means export expenditure increases, increasing AD and growth, leading to demand-pull inflation and cost-push inflation.
~ Appreciation, means export expenditure decreases, decreasing AD and growth, leading to lower inflation.
Describe ‘Current Account’ As An Area Of The Economy Affected By Exchange Rate Changes
(2 Points)
~ Depreciation, means exports > imports, improving the current account balance.
~ Appreciation, means imports > exports, worsening the current account balance.
Describe ‘FDI Flows’ As An Area Of The Economy Affected By Exchange Rate Changes
(2 Points)
~ Depreciation, means FDI would be cheaper, increasing FDI flows.
~ Appreciation, means FDI would be more expensive, decreasing FDI flows.
In The Short-Run, What Elasticity Is Imports & Why?
(3 Points)
~ Import demand is inelastic.
~ As importers, can’t immediately respond to changes in exchange rate.
~ Increasing import expenditure, worsening the current account balance.
In The Long-Run, What Elasticity Is Imports & Why?
(3 Points)
~ Import demand is elastic.
~ As importers, are able to respond to changes in exchange rate.
~ Decreasing import expenditure, improving the current account balance.
What Does The J-Curve State?
The impact of changing exchange rates on the current account, changes between the SR and the LR.
Draw & Explain The J-Curve
(2 Points)
~ Following a currency depreciation, in the SR import demand is inelastic, as importers aren’t able to respond to changes in exchange rates.
~ In the LR, import demand is elastic, as the marshall-lerner condition has been satisfied, imports demand become elastic, improve the current account balance.
What Does The Marshall-Lerner Condition State?
(2 Points)
~ PED for exports + PED for imports > 1.
~ Needs to met, before an economy’s current account deficit will improve, following a depreciation.
What Is The Marshall-Lerner Condition, In The SR?
PED for exports + PED for imports < 1.
What Is The Marshall-Lerner Condition, In The LR?
PED for exports + PED for imports > 1.