2.5.3 - Trade (Business) Cycle Flashcards
What Does The Trade Cycle Look Like?
What Are The 4 Stages Of The Trade Cycle?
~ Boom.
~ Recession.
~ Slump.
~ Recovery.
What Is Meant By ‘Recession’?
Two successive quarters of negative growth.
Describe A Boom
(7 Points)
~ Growth is faster than trend, positive output gap.
~ High profits.
~ Low unemployment.
~ High consumer and business confidence.
~ Higher demand for imports, due to higher incomes.
~ Rising tax revenues.
~ However, demand pull inflation may occur.
Describe A Recession & A Slump
(6 Points)
~ Declining AD.
~ High unemployment.
~ Falls in consumer and business confidence.
~ Lower inflation.
~ Loose policy, to stimulate AD.
~ Low demand for imports.
Describe A Recovery
(3 Points)
~ Rising consumer and business confidence.
~ Higher investment.
~ Lower unemployment.
Why Are There Fluctuations In Actual Growth?
(3 Points)
~ Due to shocks, as nobody can predict them.
~ Happens on the demand side (Factors that reduce AD).
~ Happens on the supply side (Factors that reduce AS).