3.3 Flashcards
How to calculate a 3 month moving average
-Add up 3 months
-Divide by three
5 Limits of Quantitative Sales Forecasting
-Seasonality
-Competition
-Publicity
-Market changes
-Changes to legislation
Definition of Quantitative Sales Forecasting
Provides an estimation of future sales figures using past data and considering predictable external factors
Definition of Investment Appraisal
Comparing the expected future cash flows of an investment with the initial outlay
Payback formula
-Count until last negative for years
-Divide next net by current cumulative
-Multiply by 12 for months
Formula of ARR
((Total net profit / No. Years) / Initial Cost) *100
Formula of NPV
-Multiply net cash flow by Discount Factor
-Add all discounted cash flow with year 0
How to calculate a decision tree
-Add all info to tree
-Multiple all percent by P/L
-Add S/F for each decision
-Minus cost of each decision for net gain
What is left half of circle of CPA
Activity number
What is upper section of circle of CPA
EST
What is lower section of circle of CPA
LFT
How to calculate EST
Working from node1 add the duration of each task
How to calculate LFT
Working backwards from last node subtract the duration of each activity
How to calculate the CPA
All nodes that have the same EST and LFT
How to calculate Float Time at a node
The difference between top and bottom number