Probability Flashcards
What is the definition of probability?
probability = want / total
Using the probability formula, what is the chance when I flip a coin that it lands on heads?
probability = want = 1 / total = 2
If you have all of the digits from 0 - 9 and you select one of them randomly, what is the probability that the digit is prime?
= 4 / 10
or as a percent = 40%
All probability is expressed between 0 and 1 or 0 and 100%
If the probability is 0 or 0% it means it will never happen
If the probability is 1 or 100% it means it will happen
Total number of outcomes that satisfy the requirements / total number of outcomes
probability
Five men and six women are available to serve on a three-person committee. If the three members are chosen at random, what is the probability that the committee includes at least one woman?
When it says includes at least one woman, you can calculate the changes of getting no women and then subtract that number from 1.
So what are the chances that you get a committee with all men?
5 / 11 * 4 / 10 * 3 / 9 = 2 / 33
Then you need to subtract 2/33 from 1 to get your answer
so 1 - 2/33 = 31/33
When you see the word “at least” what can you do?
You can calculate the event that is not occurring and subtract that answer from 1
A candy jar contains 3 orange gumdrops and 4 lime gumdrops. If two gumdrops are randomly chosen from the jar, what is the probability that both an orange and a lime gum drop are selected?
Formula will be Probability of (Orange and Lime) = P(L,O) + P(O,L)
So,
Probability of (Orange and Lime) = (4/7 * 3/6) + (3/7 * 4/6)
So,
Probability of (Orange and Lime) = 2/7 + 2/7 = 4/7
Griffin has a bag of marbles that contain only six black marbles and four red marbles. If he removes three marbles at random without replacing any of the marbles, what is the probability that all three marbles that will be selected are red?
Because he is going to pull out three different marbles write the sequence out
Note he doesn’t replace as he goes
Red Red Red
4/10 * 3/9 * 2/8 = 1/30
What is the probability of red and red and red ? You can multiply
Answer = 1/30
The probability of an event occurring and the probability of an event not occurring always add up to what?
the probability of an event occurring and the probability of an event not occurring always add up to 1
What should you do when you see AND probability?
Multiply
Alejandro flips a coin four times. What is the probability that he gets heads on the first two throws and tails on the last two throws?
Answer = 1/16
.5 x .5 x .5 x.5 = .0625
Probability doesn’t change from the previous probability, even if you got heads on a coin flip 10 times, on the 11th time its still a 1/2 probability.
Probability of A and B = ?
Probability of A x Probability of B
multiply
the term “both” can also mean what in a probability question?
“both” can also mean “and” in a probability question, in which case you multiply
“or” probability (with mutually exclusive events)
ex. if I roll a dice I can roll a 2 or a 6 you can’t roll both
translate the word “or” into a +
addition
Anne has a deck of 52 cards, each made up of four suits, each card numbered 1 through 13. If she selects a card at random, what is the probability that she selects a 2 or a 7 or a 9?
Because you have four suits, and each card is numbered 1 - 13 you have 4 twos, 4 sevens and 4 nines.
so,
4/52 + 4/52 + 4/52 = 12/52 which equals 3/13
Probability of A or B = ?
Probability of A + Probability of B
“at least” probability
The probability of rain on each of five days is 1/6, except on the first day, when it is 2/5 and on the last day when it is 4/5. What is the probability that rain will occur on at least one of the five days?
100% - No Rain = chance for some rain
Chances that there is no rain for each day:
M T W TH F
3/5 5/6 5/6 5/6 1/6
So multiply each of these things = 375/5,400
1 - 375/5,400 = .9305556
= 67/72
“at least” probability
Find the probability that the event does not happen, and subtract it from 1.
Probability of A = ?
Probability of A = 1 - Probability of Not A
Four people are playing a game in which each person rolls a six sided die at the same time.
QA: 2/3
QB: The probability that at least two of the people roll the same number
Start by thinking that no one rolls the same number
1st person rolling what is the chance they will roll something no one else has rolled? = 6/6 (because they are going first)
2nd person: 5/6
3rd person: 4/6
4th person: 3/6
So,
6/6 x 5/6 x 4/6 x 3/6 = 5/18 (which is the likelihood that no one rolls the same number)
So 1 - 5/18 = 13/18
Since 13/18 > 2/3 the answer is B
A bowl contains 4 red marbles and 12 blue marbles. If two marbles are selected at random one after the other without replacement, what is the probability that both a red and blue marble will be selected?
= 2/5
If jake has a 1/3 chance of making his football team and a 1/6 chance of making the basketball team, what are the chances he makes both?
multiply!
1/3 * 1/6 = 1/18
answer = 1/18