L24 History of Epidemics Flashcards
How do we know a historical epidemic happened
Historical acconts
Molecular analysis or identification of skeletal features
Infectious agents could have mutated over centuries
What helps to contain the spread of infectious diseases
Implementing isolation, quarantine and border control
What is being increasingly recognised as a key component of outbreak response
Community engagement
Smallpox fact sheet:
Agent, mortality, transmission, incubation period and symptoms
Variola virus
30% mortality
Person to person via droplets or contact with contaminated bedding
Up to 2 weeks incubation
Highe fever, fatigue, back pain, rash pustules
When was small pox eradicated
1980
Cholera agent, mortality, transmission, incubation, symptoms
Bacterium vibrio cholerae
25-50% mortality
contaminated food or water
2hr to 5 day incubation
watery diarrhea, vomiting, circulatory collapse and shock
What is the reproduction number
Epidemiological metric used to describe the contagiousness or transmisability of an infectious agent
What factors affect reproduction number
Biological, sociobehavioural and environmental
When is an outbreak expected to continue
If RO has a value >1
How are outbreaks survailed
Digital media
Animal survaillance
Mathematical modelling
How is information about outbreaks shared
Online platforms
WHO’s early warning and response system
Oxford-Nanopore minION