extrapolation, moving averages and confidence intervals Flashcards
1
Q
what is extrapolation?
A
using trends to predict the future
requires historical data
only a predicition
2
Q
what are moving averages?
A
smoothes fluctuations
calculated over time scale and then plotted on middle point
3
Q
What are confidence intervals?
A
the probability finds are correct with a possible range of outcomes
wider gap means more certain
4
Q
consequences of interpolation?
A
forecast a change
may change prices or output
launch or pull products