Ch. 12 Flashcards
People tend to attribute their successes to internal factors and their failures to external causes.
Self-serving
Involve the behaviors of organizations, industries, economies, and societies. Studied by social scientists.
Maco-behavioral problems
When explaining the behavior of others, people use distinctiveness, consistency, and consensus data.
Covariation model
A formal pattern or general principle that explains the outcome of an event. Typified by scientific laws.
Functional cause
Failure to adjust fallible test results in light of the low base rate of a suspected cause.
Base rate neglect
Had a heart attack from over exception. Underlying cause: had a heart attack because he had a bad heart.
Precipitating cause
Collecting data, perhaps by inspecting the system or talking with operators.
Information gathering
They assume that others in the same situation would behave as they do.
False consensus effect
History, mortality, selection bias, and reactance, among others.
Threats to validity
Using available information and experiential knowledge to identify possible causes.
Hypothesis generation
The goal, end, or purpose of an action. Often used to account for human behavior.
Purposive cause
Variables can be correlated because a third factor influences both.
Confusing correlation with causation
Causes that have little real influence.
Trivial causes
Comparing case specific evidence with hypothesis-based expectations.
Misevaluating hypotheses
Won a football game and winning football team is thinking that they put in a lot of effort while the losing team used external causes like bad refs or weather to explain their loss.
Self-serving
A sporadic source of variation that results from changes or incidental events.
Special cause
Cause and effect are often assumed to be similar in magnitude and appearance. This cue is often misleading.
Similarity
The thing or factor that is responsible for or explains the outcome.
Cause
Rejecting a true hypothesis
Type 1 error
Taken for granted beliefs aren’t questioned
Mistaken assumptions
Only considering two possible causes
Binary thinking
X came before Y, so X must have caused Y.
Post hoc fallacy
Why did the board split? Because it is cedar and its is weak.
Essential cause