Lecture 4- part: reasoning Flashcards
deductive reasoning
- big hypothesis -> observation -> confirmation
- Aristotle
inductive reasoning
- observation -> pattern -> hypothesis
- Sherlock
conditional reasoning
- deductive
- involves logical determination of whether the evidence supports, refutes or is irrelevant to the stated relationship
- if.. then relationship
- if: antecedent
- then: consequent
modus ponens
- affirming antecedent
- A-yes = B-yes
modus tollens
- denying consequent
- B-no = A-no
wason selection task
- matching bias
- confirmation bias
syllogistic reasoning
3 statements:
- first two parts state the premises
- third part states a conclusion based on the premises
Example:
- All Polar bears are white
- Knut is a polar bear
- Therefore Knut is white
mental models
- construction of different models in one’s mind depending on the problem
- each model represents a possibility
example: coin- infinite scenarios, two mental models (heads, tails)
mental models
1) principle of truth -> construction of mental models confirming the hypothesis (confirmation bias)
2. falsification by searching for counter examples ( in reality we don’t always falsify)
3. working memory -> limited reasoning
- > more mental models possible
- > less valid conclusions
mental models - limitations (5)
1) overestimates the use of deductive reasoning
2) processes of mental models are under-specific
3) ignores individual differences
4) overestimates the use of falsification
5) evidence suggests two processes used to solve problems ( dual process model)
dual system theories
system 1: unconcious, heuristics, fast, unlimited , parallel processing, independent of general intelligence
system 2: analytic, rule based, serial processing, limited capacity by working memory, dependent on general intelligence
heuristic analytic theory of reasoning ?
-goal, task features etc (everything that is known) -> constrcuting most plausible or relevant model
……
limitations heuristic analytic theory
- oversimplification of distinct implicit heuristics and explicit analytic thinking ??
- many analytic processes not clearly defined in function and use
- interaction of both processes is assumed but not explained