CH 13 Judgement, Decisions, And Reasoning Flashcards
Illusory correlation.
A correlation that appears to exist between two events, when in reality there is no correlation or it is weaker than it is assumed to be.
Stereotypes
An oversimplified generalizations about a group or class of people that often focuses on negative characteristics.
Representative heuristic
The probability that an event A comes from class B can be determined by how well A resembles the properties of class B.
Base rate
The relative proportions of different classes in a population. Failure to consider base rates can often lead to errors in reasoning.
Conjunctive rule
The probability of the conjunction of two events cannot be higher than the probability of the single constituent.
Law of large numbers
The larger the number of individuals that are randomly drawn from a population, the more representative the resulting group will be of the entire population.
My side bias
Type of confirmation bias in which people generated and test hypotheses in a way that is biased toward their own opinions and attitudes.
Confirmation bias
The tendency to selectively look for information that conforms to our hypothesis and to overlook information that argues against it.
Backfire effect
Occurs when individuals support for a particular viewpoint becomes stronger when faced with corrective facts opposing their viewpoint.
Deductive reasoning
Reasoning that involves syllogism in which a conclusion logically follows from premises.
Availability heuristic
Events that are most easily remembered are judged to be more probable than events that are less easily remembered.
Back fire event
Occurs when individuals support for a particular viewpoint becomes stronger when faced with corrective facts opposing their viewpoint.
Belief bias
Tendency to think a syllogism is valid if it’s conclusion is believable or that it is invalid if the conclusion is not believable.
Categorical syllogism
A syllogism in which the premises and conclusion describe the relationship between two categories by using statement that begin with all, no, or some.
Conditional syllogism
Syllogism with two premises and conclusion, like a categorical syllogism, but whose first premises is an “if…then” statement.
Confirmation bias
The tendency to selectively look for information. That conforms to our hypothesis and to overlook information that argues against it.
Conjunctive tule
The probability of the conjunction of two events (such as feminist and bank teller) cannot be higher then a single constituent m.
Decisión
Making choices between alternatives.
Dual system approach
The idea that there are two mental systems, one fast and the other slower, that have different capabilities and serve different functions.