3 - why hasnt economics been experimental all along Flashcards

1
Q

why did BE emerge

A
  1. availability of data
  2. goes beyond whether predictions are enough
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2
Q

what makes lab experiments generate causal results

A
  1. random assingments
  2. different treatments that only differ in way interest in
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3
Q

how does the mugs and chocolate lab experiment test standard theory

  • what is the standard theory
A

standard theory =
* preferences captured by indifference map - consumption bundles
* constraints

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4
Q

what is endowment theory

A

phenomenon where individuals items they own more than equivalent items they dont own

  • preferences depend on endowment - so there exists other aspects that drive choices
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5
Q

how does endowment theory challenge standard economics

  • what is standard theory
A

standard
* preferences captured by indifference map - consumption bundles

  • people exhibit different preferences depending on whether they own something
  • emphasises importance of considering psychological factors in economic behaviour
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6
Q

what is the Knetsch mugs and chocolate experiment
what does it test
what is the standard econ assumption

A

tests if preferences are independent of endowment

standard econ assumption:
* proportion of subjects who choose mug should be the same across 3 groups - if random sampling variation
* because subjects should have same feasible set

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7
Q

Knetsch mugs and chocolate experiment

how does it work

A
  • 2 goods of same value, mugs and chocolates
  • subjects dividided into 3 groups:
  • given mugs
  • given chocs
  • allowed to choose - not endowed
  • allowed to swap
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8
Q

Knetsch mugs and chocolate experiment

results
and what does this mean

A

results:
* when endowed - majority of people 90% keep whatever they were endowed with
* when not endowed 50% people choose mugs the other choose chocs

  • we have observed endowment effect - there is difference in choices between the groups depending on what they were endowed with
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9
Q

what factors are key to ensure causal impact of endowment

A
  1. endowment is only way treatments differ - holding constant all other factors
  2. random sample
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10
Q

why were economists reluctant to use experiments for so long

A
  • controlled experiments have higher internal validity (reliable conclusions about an effect that did operate in the experiment) but external validity (reliable conclusions about effect that would operate outside the experiment) is questionable
  • lots of people thought that experiments were irrelevant to economics
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11
Q

views against lab experiments

A
  1. irrelevant to economics
  2. misleading about other contexts
  3. unrepresentative - wouldnt apply to field
  4. behaviour distorted
  5. people dont understand
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12
Q

what was Friedmans 1953 point of view on lab experiments

A
  • theory models should only be judged by their predictive power - doesnt matter about realistic assumptions
  • theories predictive success in field is all that matters
  • labs cant explain field phenomena
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13
Q

how does vernon smith show that lab experiments are important to economics

A
  • artificial lab markets can simulate real markets
  • lab experiments predict successfully what they were intended to –> Friedman
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14
Q

why is using financial incentives important in experiments

A
  • create real mini economic systems in lab
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15
Q

what are 2 examples of how lab experiements can be important and useful for economics

A
  1. lotteries
  2. markets
  • you can observe things more easier in lab than you can in field
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16
Q

what are the benefits of lotteries in lab

A
  • lottery - specifies all possible outcomes and their probabilities
  • lotteries are possible to observe in lab but not in field
  • risky assets in field are not well specified
17
Q

markets Vernon Smith
what does economics predict
what is case in field

A
  • prices will clear market, quantity traded at point where demand and supply curve intersect
  • in field you cant observe demand/supply curves
18
Q

what lab experiment did vernon smith do to help understand markets

A

created a lab market where we know they induced demand and supply curves before the trading begins
- given tokens to trade - can be exchanged for cash at the end

  • was able to compare observed prices and quantities to theoretical prediction
  • found that markets even in lab - tend to converge towards equilibrium prices
19
Q

what 2 arguments critique economic theory and methodology

A

plotts “simplicity as a virtue”
smiths “blame the theory”

20
Q

plotts “simplicity as a virtue”

A
  • models should be simple and easy to understand
  • denies external validity?
21
Q

smiths “blame the theory”

A
  • theories can not perfectly predict real world outcomes
  • dont place too much blame on theories
  • integrate theories with empirical research
  • empirical data refines and tests theories