Topic 6: Economics (1997-2007) Flashcards

1
Q

3

Describe Gordon Brown

A
  • Shadow CX since 1992
  • Handed sole control of economic policy
  • Spending injections increased from 2001
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2
Q

4

Describe Brown’s aims in 1997

A
  • Inherited favourable economic circumstances in 1997
  • Keep inflation low
  • Keep government spending under control
  • Prove that labour was pro-business and economically competent to escape old ‘tax-and-spend’ adage
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3
Q

3

Describe Bank of England policy under Brown

A
  • Brown granted BoE independent monetary control
  • Mandated 2% inflation target
  • Cemented anti-inflation policies developed by Clarke and Lamont after Black Wednesday
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4
Q

3

Describe the impact of BoE independence

A
  • Hailed as masterstroke policy
  • Inflation kept low at 2.5% in 1997, 2.75% in 1998, 2.5% in 1999
  • Interest rates declined from 7.5% (1998) to 5.5% (1999)
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5
Q

5

Describe tax/borrowing policy under Brown

A
  • Set borrowing rules through treasury rather than No10
  • Did not raise basic or higher rates of income tax
  • Aimed to shake off ‘tax-and-spend’ image
  • Reduced starting rate of income tax from 20% (pre-1997) to 10% (1999)
  • However raised tax thresholds in line with inflation rather than earnings, leading to fiscal drag
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6
Q

2

Describe spending plans under Brown (1997-2001)

A
  • Subscribed to Tory spending plans in 1st term
  • Allowed for growing economic stability to permit greater spending on public services in 2nd term
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7
Q

3

Describe spending plans under Brown (from 2001)

A
  • Greater injection of spending into public services
  • Biggest increases in education (new schools and teacher pay rises) and health (pay rises for doctors, nurses)
  • Exam results went up and waiting lists went down
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8
Q

4

Descrbe PFIs (Private Finance Initiatives)

A
  • Introduced by Major in 1992 - expanded considerably under Blair
  • Used private funding through contracts to enable improvements to public services
  • Private companies take on short-term burden of raising capital
  • Government and taxpayers repay private firms over long term
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9
Q

3

Describe the impact of PFIs

A
  • Avoided raising taxes
  • Aided pro-business image to Middle England
  • Critics argued it placed greater amount of debt on ‘off-balance-sheet’

‘off-balance-sheet’ - financing not on govt balance book

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10
Q

3

Describe a stat that shows the impact of PFIs

A
  • 2003-08
  • 69% PFI construction projects completed on time
  • 65% delivered at agreed price
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11
Q

4

Describe the 1997 budget

A
  • Corporation tax cut from 33% to 31%
  • Corporation tax for SME cut from from 23% to 21%
  • £5.2bn to be raised through windfall tax
  • Stamp duty increased by 2% over £500k
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12
Q

2

Describe the 2002 Budget

A
  • 1% increase in NI contributions
  • Allocated to NHS spending
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13
Q

3

Describe redistributive wealth under Brown and Blair

A
  • Redistribution schemes such as tax credits
  • Received little fanfare (to avoid criticism)
  • Poorest 10% gain 13% of national income (1997-2010)
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14
Q

3

Describe Brown’s 5 economic tests

A
  • 1997, Brown and Balls (SPAD) set out 5 tests for Britain committing to euro
  • e.g. economic structures and business cycles compatiable with other nations to allow for comfortable integration into euro interest rates
  • Treasury assessments in 1997 and 2003 deemed that British convergence and economic flexibility was insufficient

convergence - minimise structural differences

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15
Q

4

Describe the positives in the economy under Blair

A
  • Decade of economic stability, consistent high growth, low inflation
  • Low employment
  • Monetary Policy Committee highly effective
  • Remained outside Eurozone
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16
Q

5

Describe the positives in the economy 1997-2007 (stats)

A
  • GDP doubled from $1.5trn (1997) to $3trn (2007)
  • Govt debt as share of GDP remained relatively level at average 33%
  • Interest rates stood at 5.25% (2007) against 6% rate (1997)
  • Unemployment fell from 2m to 1.7m
  • Zero deficit in 1999-2000 before 2001 Budget surplus
17
Q

4

Describe the negatives in the economy under Blair

A
  • Level of debt broke £1trn barrier
  • Public finances in precarious state before 2008 GFC
  • Extra revenue increased through higher NI contributions and fiscal drag
  • Big business argued fiscal drag ‘stealth tax’ threatened competitiveness
18
Q

4

Describe the negatives in the economy 1997-2007 (stats)

A
  • Personal debts ballooned - avg household held personal debt equivalent to 160% of household disposable income in 2007
  • Mortgage borrowing spiked to over £1trn
  • House prices rose at avg 11% a year
  • Avg household saw £3100 increase in taxation due to fiscal drag
19
Q

4

Describe the positives in trade and industry (1997-2007)

A
  • ‘Fairness at work’
  • Economic growth averaged 3.2% from 1997-2000 (though had dropped to 2.4% for 2001-06)
  • Productivity gap with USA/Germany/France narrowed due to private investment in machinery (capital spending)
  • British inward investment increased from £153bn in 1997 to £483bn in 2006
20
Q

4

Describe ‘fairness at work’ measures

A
  • 1998, Minimum Wage introduced at £3.60 for over 21s
  • Legal recognition for trade unions
  • Signing of European Social Chapter
  • Welcomed by TUC
21
Q

3

Describe negatives in trade and industry (1997-2007)

A
  • 2005, Rover goes bust
  • Decline in manufacturing industry employment
  • Took 9 years to determine energy policy
22
Q

4

Describe the liquidation of MG Rover Group 2005

A
  • Last domestically owned mass-production car manufacturer
  • 2005, entered administration
  • Labour and Patricia Hewitt (Trade and Industry Sec) criticsed for not being interventionist enough
  • Yet Stephen Byers, Hewitt’s predecessor, had worked extensively to prevent collapse
  • 30k jobs lost directly and through related supply industries
23
Q

4

Describe the decline of the manufacturing industry (1997-2207)

A
  • Manufacturing – 1997 4.5m jobs, 2006 3.2m
  • Motor industry – 1997 234k, 2006 175k
  • Industrial unions such as Amicus and TGWU criticsed Government for not protecting well-paid jobs
  • Yet productivty rise and investment ensured national employment remained close to full
24
Q

4

Describe energy policy under Blair

A
  • Took 9 years to decide policy
  • 2003, ducked issue of nuclear power in favour of renewable energy
  • 2006, Labour gave go-ahead for nuclear power to prevent reliance on Russian and Iranian gas
  • 2007, High Court thew out 2006 Energy Review plans (go-ahead not given until 2008)
25
Q

4

Describe Blair’s attitude to globalisation

A
  • embraced globalisation as opportunity to expand economic growth
  • Focussed on skills and R&D to develop ‘knowledge economy’ to utilise new technologies
  • Spent hugely on R&D tax credits, totalling £580m by 2005
  • Productivity gap in comparison to Europe and USA narrowed due to increased efficiency
26
Q

2

Describe privatisation under Blair

A
  • Arguably extended further than Thatcher/Major years
  • Dismayed trade unions
27
Q

3

Describe examples of privatisation under Blair

A
  • Air Traffic Control organisation
  • London Undergound moved to private-public partnership
  • Discussions about privatising Royal Mail, which Major had dared not do