Poverty and Violent Conflict - Justino 2009 Flashcards
Paola's Slides
direct impact of violence
- household breakdown
- change in assets in livelihoods
- displacement
indirect impact of violence
- on local markets
- on community relations
- on political institutions
- on economic growth and distribution
direct effects of household breakdown
- loss of earnings, assets, livelihoods
- loss of human capital: education and health
indirect effects of household breakdown
- loss or disability of prime age workers (replaced by women and children) -> children removed from school
- social burden imposed on remaining household members to care for the injured and disabled
effects of change of assets
- assets get lost or destroyed through heavy fighting and looting
- houses, land, labor, utensils, cattle, livestock
- households left without means of earning a living or providing food and shelter for their members
effects of change of livelihoods agri
- armed conflict affects the rural sector; only rarely do armies and armed groups fight in cities
- agriculture sector and agriculture-based livelihoods recover very slowly in the post conflict period
channels of impact of conflict on rural livelihoods
- destruction due to fighting: loss of fields, crops, landmines
- expropriation of land
- displacement of people
- destruction of trade markets or limited access to them
effects of change of livelihood economic
- losses impact on ability to recover economic and social position in post-conflict settings
- net effects (some people gain): looting, redistribution of assets, privileged access to market and political institutions for those that win the conflict or support winning factions during the conflict
displacement
- armed conflict associated with large population movements
- forces families to leave behind assets and have to start anew (often times they can’t)
civilian populations targets for armies and rebel groups
- territorial expansion
- weaken population support
- increase support base
- add to resources through looting and appropriation of valuable assets and sites
cycle of displacement and deprivation
- refugees and displaced populations living under most difficult forms of socio-economic exclusion and deprivation
- healthcare stretched in camps; lack of food, nutrients and medicine
- spread of infectious diseases
breakdown of families and social networks
- disrupts risk sharing mechanisms amongst affected communities
- disrupts formal and informal social protection mechanisms, such as loans from relatives and acquaintances
- disrupts health
indirect impact of violence on exchange markets
exchange markets -> changes in prices (staple goods tend to increase; cattle decreases) -> food insecurity
indirect impact of violence on employment markets
employment markets-> changes in wages -> may affect soldiering choices
indirect impact of violence on insurance and credit markets
insurance and credit markets -> changes in savings -> rely on costly coping strategies with adverse health effects (child labor)
net impact of violence on local markets
- initial conditions (wealth and health endowments)
- ability to adapt
- idiosyncratic shock (selective violence)
- covariant shock (indiscriminate violence)
indirect impact of violence on community relations
- destruction of networks and community relations due to: death, abductions, displacement, loss of trust
- networks and community relations are crucial elements of the capital of the poor
impact of changes on household poverty will depend on
- initial characteristics and alliances of households at the start of the conflict
- extent of the breakdown of social cohesion during the conflict
- strength and types of new networks and alliances formed during and after the conflict
indirect impact of violence on political institutions
- structure of political institutions
- relations between populations, political institutions, security forces, economic political elites and the legal-judiciary system
- war results from and leads to forms of state and governance failure and the weakness of state institutions
armed conflict is likely to impact those in conflict areas
- changes in provision of public goods, physical security, and protection of property rights
- effects worse for
- households on welfare
- households whose members are more likely to be targets of violence due to inherent characteristics
t/f strong rebel governance tends to increase the duration of irregular wars, and create strong social interactions and alliances between rebels and community members
true
- government often persists during violence, usually by institutional changes rather than anarchy
indirect impact of violence on economic growth
- damage to infrastructure, markets, and social cohesion
- decrease in public and private investments (health)
- increases in military budgets at the expense of social expenditure
- deaths, injuries, loss of assets, displacement, and migration result in destruction of valuable human and physical capital
- armed conflict affects capacity of responding to other shocks
indirect impact of violence on inequality
- little evidence on impact of conflict on inequality, but violence likely to lead to profound social transformations
- improved inequalities after the conflict (the wealthy are often targets)
participation is a function of two interdependent variables
- the first is initial household characteristics, which determine the extent of the household’s vulnerability to poverty
- the second is the extent of the exposure of the household to violence during conflict or, in other words, its vulnerability to violence