Lecture 10 - UK and Global Flashcards
CET temperatures since …
Found out temperatures of land in Wales, Scotland, Nireland increased by ..C since 1980
Coastal sea temperatures by ..
1772, 0.8
0.7C
Uncertainty about climate conditions is down to .. climate variability, a lack of .. of Earth system processes and uncertainty about future .. emissions
natuarl, certianty, GHG
Volcanoes release .. in the atmosphere which can influence climate, along with the .. energy
particle, suns
-previously most important climate drivers
HAZE effect in El Chichon, Mexico 1982 led to a temperature change of .. to ..
-0.3, -0.5C
El Nino events are .. of ocean-atmosphere system in tropical pacific
oscillations
-positive phase unusually warm temperatures
The … … oscillation is a dominant driver of winter climate ..
Leading to .. winters in Europe and .. and .. in N.Canada and greenland
north atlantic
variability
wet, cold and dry
Multiple climate models can be combine to form …. … ..
probability density functions
- also includes natural variability uncertainty
… of CO2 emissions leading to 2C warming already used
Total quota for 2C warming likely used in next .. years at 2014 emission rates
2/3
30 years
Predicted by 2060-79 winter temperatures will increase …-..C over most of UK while summer temperatures willl increase ..-..C
1-2
2-3
-Possibly 3-4 in the South
Precipitation change by 2060-79 predicited .-.. increase in N & W, while ..-..% decrease in S & E
Also wetter winters, increasing at ..-..% in the S and coastal regions
Summers predicted ..-..% drier in S & W while ..-..% drier in most of N
0-10, 0-10
10-20
20-30, 10,20
Range of ice rise around UK by 2100 predicted to be ..-..m
If all sea ice melted would be … raised
0.1-0.8
84m
Chance of 2018 summer below .. in 1990
But by 2050 there’s a … chance even in lowest GHG scenario
At current rates will be normal by 2090
10
50
Gulf stream refers to .. .. ocean circulation
Weaken up to .. by 2100 following current projections
north atlantic
50%
- no model suggests abrupt shutdown
RCP 2.6 - global emissions peak by ..-.
Projected … sea rise by 2100.
2010-2020
0.4m
RCP 4.5 peak by ..
2040
