horizon scan Flashcards
liu et al 2020 why are transboundary areas impora=tant for conservation
More likly mountain lakes= high level endimism , role ecological connetivity, strict miltary presence = limit acess to public
liu et al 2020 why loosing biod transboundary areas
1) Increasing physical barriers
2) lots planned transboundary infrastrucutre projects
3) illigal wildlife trade, poaching, armed conflcit
4) cc move distribution species into new countries diffrernt regulation
liu et al 2020 what should be done protect transboundary areas
1) avoid infrastructure development break ecological connectivity. If must be done use biod friendly structures
2) create transboundary pa
edwars et al 2014 what value logged forest
-biod
-water regulation
edwards et al 2014 why retain logged forest
-intensity loffing can vary
-gaps same as nuture
-canpy connected
edwards et al 2014 what could be done to mange logged forests
-keep part timber estate
-leave time between harvests
-cutting diameter limits
-retain large emergent trees
-reduced impact log technique
-set aside area
-certification schemes
how did conduct horizon scan sutherland 2022
global panel 26 scientist use delphi technnique identify 15 jey issues
sutherland woodfroof 2009 what is the purpose of a horizon scan
-try and predict issues before become a problem
-help policy development and researchers
-help create better advice if can see upcoming issues
what are the stages to a horizon scan
1) scope the issue
2) gathering info
3) spotting signal
4)watching trends
5) make sense future
6) agreeing response
what sutherland and woodroof 2009 recomendation horizon scan
1) regular horizon scans at conferences
2) opinion pieces in jounal articles outlining potential developments
3) routine collection and discemnation results = accessible policy makeers and practioners
sutherland and woodrood 2009 what must be adressed once you have identified issue
1) impacts interested organisations
2) how long needed to respond
3) how much advance warning development likly
4) what planning and preperation appropriate
5) what k gaps need filling
6) if statagy wait how keep organisation informed
sutherland woodroof 2009 weeknesses horizon scan
-time
-divert effort if false alarm
-some issues won’t identify
-some wont turn out to be a problem
define horizon scan
systematic search trends, opportunites, contraits to reach desire goal, identify emerging issues in time action
how use delphi technique horizon scan
-strucutred approach reach concensus issues
-each propsose two issues
-wittel down until 15 remainng
how use delphi technique horizon scan
-strucutred approach reach concensus issues
-each propsose two issues
-wittel down until 15 remainng
steps horizon scan report
1)identify topic
2) collect topics
3)score topics
4) comment short lists
5) discuss nad rescore topics
6) final list topics
issue microplastic 2009
-5 trillion plastics estimated ocean
-neg effect marine life
synthetic meets 2009
-solution combat deforestation, cc?
-green house gas 46% lower real meat
(some carbon cool)
invasive lion fish
invasive harmful marine envi
perverse impacts forest conservation initiatives 2009
-land optimisaltion model demoonstrae forest conversion scheme REDD drive expansionnon cropland area
-still unclear out ocomes this scheme
mining lithium
-component modern batteries
-abundace andes home endemic species
-is it better large scale mines go deep earth or small scale shallow mines
denial biod loss 20010
dyson 2005 argued people not experincing direct impacts unlikly change behavior
fracking 2010
extraction gas ground, involve pumpin g chemicals end up water tables. now common concern
fracking 2010
extraction gas ground, involve pumpin g chemicals end up water tables. now common concern
