Epidemiology - Topic 2 Flashcards
What is the rate of disease transmission?
The ability of a disease to spread, and how infectious it is measured by the basic reproductive number R0
What does R0 measure?
Is a measure of how many people will contract a disease from the person who is the primary source
What is R0 the number of?
The number of secondary infections produced by a single case of infection, in a population where the disease doesnt exist and the individuals are therefore vulnerable
Example: If R0 is 7
It means that approx. seven people will become infected from coming into contact with a diseased person
Every new case would result in seven new secondary cases
Pandemics: R0>1
Transmission is increasing and outbreak is possible
Pandemics: R0 = 1
Transmission is stable
Pandemics: R0<1
Transmission is decreasing (local extinction of disease is possible)
Calculation for R0:
R0 = r x c x d
What is r:
The transmissibility of the pathogen
What is c:
The average rate of contact between susceptible and infected individuals
What is d:
The duration of the infectious of the disease
How to calculate the proportion of a population that needs to be vaccinated?
VT = 1 - 1/ R0
What is VT:
The proportion of the population that needs to be vaccinated