Decision trees - Business management toolkit Flashcards
Chance nodes
Are used to show the different probable outcomes of a decision. They are shown as circles Probabilities (or chances) are generally beyond the control of a business
Decision nodes
Are used when there is a choice or decision to be made. The nodes are shown as squares. The decision maker has at least some control over decision nodes.
Decision trees
Are a quantitative decision-making tool that calculates the probable values of different options available to a business. The tool helps managers to minimise the risks of decision-making.
Expected value (expected monetary value)
Refers to the average outcome if the decision was made many times over
Rejected decisions
Are the unwanted outcome branches in a decision tree. They are indicated by the use of two parallel lines for all branches or options that are undesirable.