Chapter 11 (Making Decisions) Flashcards
mental activities that take place in choosing among alternatives
decision making
has to do with selecting ways of thinking and acting to server your ends or goals or moral imperatives
rational decision making
when the information available overwhelms the cognitive processing available
cognitive overload
probabilities that are influenced by characteristics of the estimator
subjective probability
probabilities that are NOT influenced by characteristics of the estimator
object probability
shortcuts or rules of thumb to solve a problem
heuristic
particular words that are more easily thought of stand out more in ones mind
availability heuristic
generally expect that a random process will always produce random results
representativeness heuristic
people evaluate outcomes as changes from a reference point, their current state
framing effect
when an initial starting point has an effect on a final estimate
anchoring
the greater tendency to continue an endeavor once an investment in money, effort, or time has been made
sunk cost effect
seeing nonexistent relationships
illusory correlation
consistently exaggerate what could have been anticipated in foresight
hindsight bias
the tendency to search only for information that will confirm one’s initial hunch or hypothesis
confirmation bias
when you weigh your own intuitions more heavily than any objective information
overconfidence bias