Ch2 (a) Empirical approach and bias Flashcards
The hindsight bias refers to people’s tendency to
exaggerate their ability to have foreseen the outcome of past events.
Giving half the members of a group some purported psychological finding and the other half an opposite result is an easy way to demonstrate the impact of
hindsight bias
Professor Smith told one class that alcohol consumption has been found to increase sexual desire. He informed another class that alcohol consumption has been found to reduce sexual appetite. The fact that neither class was surprised by the
hindsight bias
The hindsight bias leads people to perceive research findings as
unsurprising
Alexandra is told that research supports the value of cosmetic surgery for boosting self-esteem. Belinda is told that the esteem-enhancing value of cosmetic surgery has been refuted by
research. Both women would consider the findings to be common sense. This best illustrates the power of
the hindsight bias
According to Emily’s grandfather, Adolf Hitler’s obvious emotional instability made it clear from the beginning days of his international conflicts that Germany would inevitably lose World War II. The grandfather’s claim best illustrates
the hindsight bias
Formulating testable hypotheses before conducting research is most directly useful for restraining a thinking error known as
random sampling
The scientific attitude of humility is most likely to be undermined by
the hindsight bias
When we see certain outcomes as obvious based on what has occurred, we may be experiencing
hindsight bias.
Our tendency to believe we know more than we do illustrates
overconfidence
Thinking that she had outperformed most of her classmates, Glenda was surprised to receive just an average grade on her psychology test. Glenda’s experience best illustrates
overconfidence
When provided with the unscrambled solution to anagrams, people underestimate the difficulty of solving the anagrams by themselves. This best illustrates
overconfidence
Which of the following is most likely to inhibit critical thinking?
overconfidence
Megan was certain that she would never live far away from her family. However, in order to further her career, she decided to move. Megan’s experience best illustrates
overconfidence.
Political officials who have no doubt that their own economic and military predictions will come true most clearly demonstrate
overconfidence