Biostatistics Flashcards
Positive Predictive Value (PPV)
The positive predictive value (PPV) of a diagnostic test is the probability (i.e. likelihood) that an individual truly has the disease given a positive test. PPV is equal to the number of individuals who have the disease and who test positive (i.e. true positives [TP]) divided by the total number of individuals with a positive test result (TP + false positives [FP]):
PPV = TP / (TP + FP)
Predictive values depend on the prevalence of the disease in the study population; as the disease prevalence increases, PPV increases and NPV decreases, and vice versa.
Negative Predictive Value (NPV)
NPV is equal to TN / (TN + FN) and describes the proportion of individuals with a negative test result who really do not have the disease.
NPV = TN / (TN + FN)
Sensitivity
The proportion of individuals with a known positive condition for which the test result is positive. It is an intrinsic measure of the test’s ability to correctly identify individuals with the disease.
Screening > Rule Out.
Sensitivity = TP / (TP + FN)
Specificity
Have Diagnosis > Rule In.
Specificity = TN / (TN + FP)
Phase - I Clinical Trail
- Assesses safety and pharmacokinetics.
- Phase I is usually conducted with a small number (eg, 20-80) of healthy participants.
- It often is performed in a strictly controlled environment with extensive biochemical and physiologic monitoring.
Phase - II Clinical Trail
- Assesses preliminary efficacy and optimal dosing.
- Phase II is conducted with a small number of participants who have the condition of interest, and patient outcomes are often compared to historical controls.
- It sometimes is called a pilot study.
Phase - III Clinical Trail
- Compares treatment to standard of care.
- Phase III is conducted as a large, randomized, controlled trial (in contrast to this study, which is a surveillance study with no control group) to better assess treatment response and safety.
- It may include analysis of treatment effects in selected subsets of the target patient population.
Phase - IV Clinical Trail
- Phase IV (post marketing) trials are conducted with drugs that have already been approved for use in order to study long-term effectiveness and better characterize uncommon or delayed adverse effects.
- They are typically designed to identify small treatment effects (i.e. a high power study with large numbers of participants) in diverse patient populations, and the results may be used to refine the use of drugs in clinical practice.
Case-Control Study
- A case-control study is designed by selecting individuals with a particular disease (cases), individuals without that disease (controls), and then evaluating previous exposure status.
- 1 | 0
- Diseased (Cases) | Non-Diseased (Controls)
- Compares risk factor frequency
Randomized Clinical Trial
- A randomized clinical trial directly compares >2 treatments.
- Usually, the subjects are randomly assigned to experience a specific exposure (eg, a medication) or no exposure (eg, placebo) and are then followed to assess for the outcome of interest (eg, disease).
Cross-sectional Study
- In a cross-sectional study, exposure and outcome are measured simultaneously at a particular point in time (“snapshot study”).
- In other study designs, a certain time period separates the exposure from the outcome.
- Compares disease prevalence
Prospective Cohort Study
- A group of people followed over a period of time
- Risk factors +/-
- Check disease incidence
Retrospective Cohort Study
- Review past records
- Risk factors +/-
- Compare disease incidence
Hardy-Weinberg analysis
- p + q = 1 (Allele Frequency)p = normal allele frequency
q = mutant allele frequency - p² + 2pq + q² = 1 (Phenotypic Frequency)p² = frequency of normal individuals
2pq = carrier frequency
q² = frequency of diseased individuals - √q² = q
(Calculating mutant allele frequency from disease prevalence)√q² = disease prevalence
q = mutant allele frequency
Number Needed to Harm (NNH)
The number of people who must be exposed to a treatment to cause harm to 1 person who otherwise would not have been harmed is known as the number needed to harm (NNH).
NNH = (1 / ARI)
ARI is the difference in the rate (risk) of the adverse event (AE) between the treatment group and the control group
ARI = (Rate AE treatment − Rate AE control)