3.1.1 Growing economies Flashcards
offshoring
Moving some/all production processes abroad; it could mean setting up a subsidiary company abroad or paying local contractors to manufacture the product or component
rationalisation
Reorganising production to achieve efficiency and use fewer resources to get the same output; eg making single dep for a function
nominal value
Value at current prices
current prices
Apply to data given at the price level at the year concerned
real values
Measure money values with the effect of inflation removed
constant prices
Are the prices that would have been in use without inflation
expansionary policies impact on borrowing
- Issues with fiscal: COVID and financial crisis borrowing makes it difficult for government to borrow in future due to the size of these events
- Issues with monetary: inflation is growing, so BoE puts interest rates up to keep spending down
India (productivity, infrastructure, gov, capital)
- Similar population to China
- More service sector compared to manufacturing and tech like China: China can add value in foreign market
- India is largest democracy but with changing gov, so no long term planned economy
- No universal education or healthcare, so low levels of education
- Low quality housing in large cities compared to China, no centralised government building infrastructure
- Railway built during British rule, so antiquated infrastructure
- Not as productive as China, 6-7%
why do some countries stay poor
- Primary sector countries —> resources without the ability to add value to it
- commodities have fluctuating prices
- Can’t effectively plan for future growth as prices fluctuate
- What do you do when these natural resources run out? Need to develop other sectors when this runs out for sustainable long term economic strategy
- Technology and capital lacking
- Lack of property rights → no collateral to borrow to start business/go to school
- If there are few skilled workers they wont attract investment
- Government, war, political turmoil
corruption → having to bribe officials may deter firms from investment in a country - May push domestic firms into black economy so they cannot access capital (banks wont loan to an illegal business)
- Lack of international trade - export led growth is needed for countries with a domestic population with lower incomes
- Geography
- Many poor countries are landlocked
- Climates can limit growth if crops cannot grow/trade is limited due to weather
- Inequalities
growth in asia
- Growth of asian tigers, South Korea, Taiwan, Honk Kong and Singapore
- 1980 chinese gov decided to join in world trade to increase incomes
- 1990s indian gov reformed policies to increase trade
increased economic power in africa
- 2014 oil and commodity prices fell, affecting GDP in Nigeria and other exporting african countries; brazil exports in agricultural and mineral commodities declined fast
BRIC economic growth
- 1989 USSR collapse and new russia gov increased trade with the rest of the world
- 2000 emerging economies were industralising; people who worked in agriculture moved to cities where jobs were available and in manufacturing sector labour productivity was increasing fast
- BRIC countries increased trade
- 2010 china and india had 10% econ growth despite financial crisis
- India growth 6% in 2016 and china slowed to 6.5%
- Econ growth associated with volume of trade increases
growth due to the financial crisis
- Growth slowed in developed countries after financial crisis of 2008-9, and this reduced demand for emerging markets
- China growth based on high investment levels; needed to rebalance economy and encourage more consumer spending
- India growth remains high
- Slow growth in developed countries after FC reduced demand for imports
why patterns of trade are changing
- Public opinion may shift towards protectionism but this would reduce real incomes for wage earniers
- Brexit may alter trade patterns
- New tech may decrease offshoring
- Ageing pops may need more services not manufacturers
- Political changes may disrupt some change
why is economic growth good
- Higher living standards
- Lowers unemployment
- Increases tax revenue and gov spending on welfare
- Accelerator effect: rising growth stimulates more investment
economic growth and technological change
- Rise in productivity
- Increase in GDP per worker
- Lower costs
- Higher wages and profits
- New goods and services
- Lower real prices
- Increased standard of living
- Improved health
- Healthy life expectancy
- Labour force expands
- Increased productivity
- Healthcare costs decrease and can invest elsewhere like education, increase skill of workforce
drawbacks of economic growth
- Economic growth has a risk of higher inflation and higher interest rates
- Fast growing demand can lead to inflation
- Central bank may increase interests rates as a result
- Supply side policies cannot act as fast as demand pull inflation
Environmental effects
- More negative externalities like pollution and waste
- Risk of unsustainable extraction of finite resources → fast growing countries may cause a long run depletion of natural resources
- eg beijing olympics and suspending car and economic activity to reduce emissions
- Depends on type of economy and dependence on primary sector (developing economies)
- Inequalities of income and growth
- Rapid increases in real national income can lead to a higher level of inequality and social divisions
- Many of the gains from growth may only go to a few people
how does economic growth occur with production
- Higher national output
- Increased capital spending
- Increased output per head
- Increased wages/next incomes
- Rising consumer demand
- Higher national output etc
individuals and economic growth
- Individuals will have widening range of job opportunities and will be able to increase their incomes
- People may migrate from agricultural areas to cities or other countries
- Economic growth may lead to better health care, education and welfare but only if gov take action to achieve this
firms and economic growth
- Demand for people with scarce skills will be high as they need to enhance human capital cheaply; training may be available increasing productivity
- Patterns of employment may change as businesses fail to compete in existing markets (eg where there is structural change)
- Can they stay competitive with increased trade and interdependence? This makes markets more competitive in global markets (eg productivity, econ of scale etc)
- Can offshore production for labour costs to be lower, or can engage in non price competition (reputation, branding, advertising, reliability, design etc)
how does FDI help emerging economies
- Outsourcing increases demand for manufacturers and ready supply of cheap labour keeps them competitive
- Economic growth leads to increasing incomes and labour costs
- Some businesses could thrive by investing and increasing prod, and increasing product range
- Globalisation does encourage mergers and takeovers: create scope for economies of scale and access to new markets
- Businesses that merge and rationslise will shut down departments that duplicate and cut costs
global labour market
- Benefits thos with scarce skills but hurts those will little skill and no bargaining power
- Gobalisation has reduced poverty → 600 million chinese people
- Even without good jobs, they have increased spending power thay flows into an economy
people who gain from the global labour market
- developed: Employees working in firms and highly skilled workers
- emerging: People who move from farm work to manufacturing, especially if they benefit from training
people who lose from the global labour market
- developed: Low skilled workers in firms tgat cannot compete with foreign imports and shut down
- emerging: People without scarce skills who have little bargaining power and poor working conditions
nominal and real values
- to see how much GDP/inflation has increased purchasing power_
- real val = (nominal/price index)*100
how should we handle economic data
- Has it taken inflation into account —> real incomes
- Has it taken the size of the population into account —> per head/per capita
- Is it taking into account the income individuals can actually spend —> disposable income
calculating and interpreting index numbers
- Indexes allow for making comparisons, ruling out differences in economies allowing for comparisons across countries and time
- In exam, comment on how data is recorded and why that is important
- Nominal means money
- Real takes into inflation
Index number in year Y = (data value in year Y / Base year Value) x 100