wk 9 cog Flashcards

1
Q

choices

A

riskless multiattribute choice

Intertemporal Choice - choose an option now or future option

Decisions under uncertainty

Decision under risk (do know probability)

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
2
Q

expected value

A

sum of each possible outcome weighted by its probability

e.g. 80% chance of getting £4000 would be 0.8 x 4000 + 0.2 x £0

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
3
Q

people are risk averse when it comes to

A

gains

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
4
Q

expected utility theory

A

a rational … perception

FINISH

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
5
Q

prospect theory

A

-there is an editing phase (rounding, processes number)
-reference point (how much money u have)
-Value
- Decision weights

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
6
Q

endowment effect in

A
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
7
Q

certainty effects and non - linear probabilities

A
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
8
Q

problems with prospect theory: limited scope

1 example

A

two choices:
A 95% chance to win $2.50 and a 5% chance to lose $0.75
P-bet
A 40% chance to win $8.50 and a 60% chance to lose $1.50
$-bet

An hour later… You own a ticket for this bet.  What is your minimum selling price?

Finish

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
9
Q

problems with prospect theory: limited scope

Attraction effect

A

Option A. 40% chance of $25
Option B. 30% chance of $33
Option C. 40% chance of $20
(60% CHOOSE A)

Option A. 40% chance of $25
Option B. 30% chance of $33
Option C. 25% chance of $33
(75% CHOOSE B)

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
10
Q

Prospect theory as purely descriptive

A

descision by sampling.
sampled bank accounts gains and loss.

Prospect theory doesn’t care waht teh processes are, just describes

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
11
Q
A
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly