Theme 2- Inflation (key terms) Flashcards
Inflation
- A rise in the overall or average price level
- Calculated as the % change in the CPI or RPI over a year
- Target of 2% per year
Deflation
When the overall price level falls instead of rises
- Would be expressed as a negative inflation number e.g. -2%
Disinflation
- When the rate of inflation falls - but it’s still positive
- Prices are still rising, but a slower rate
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
A measure of the average level of prices in the UK, based on a representative ‘basket’ used by the Government and Bank of England
Creeping inflation
Small rises in the general price level over a long period, low positive rate of inflation
Inflationary pressures
Demand and supply-side pressures that can cause a rise in the general price level
- Demand-pull inflationary pressure is greatest when actual GDP exceeds potential GDP - positive output gap.
- Cost-push inflationary pressure can arise from increases in unit wage costs, rising import prices, an increase in prices of raw materials, fuel and components used in production
Stagflation
A combination of slow growth and rising inflation
- The most notable recent period of stagflation occurred during the 1970s, when world oil prices rose dramatically, and UK inflation rose at one point to nearly 30 per cent
Relative deflation
An economy with an inflation rate which is lower than comparable economies. Over time, a low relative rate of inflation can lead to improved price competitiveness
Household Consumption Expenditure Survey
- The first survey you need to calculate CPI inflation
- You need a ‘representative basket of goods & services’
- Government does a survey of nearly 7000 households’ spending habits
Weightings
- Goods or services that people spend a lot of their money on will have a higher weighting
- e.g. electricity bills and housing bills have a higher weighting
Demand-pull inflation
- Inflation caused by an excess of AD over AS
- People are spending more and firms might not be able to increase production quickly enough (‘Bottlenecks’)
Cost-push inflation
- Inflation caused by rising costs of production either domestically or from importing raw materials at higher prices due to exchange rate depreciation
- Costs passed on to consumers as higher prices - inflation rises
Price stability
Occurs when there is a low positive inflation rate of between 1-3% and price changes that do occur have little impact on day-to-day decisions of people and businesses
Price level
The weighted average price of goods and services produced in an economy
Fiscal drag
Where inflation and earnings growth may push more taxpayers into higher tax brackets -> raising gov tax revenue -> improve budget deficit
However: income inequality (secondary macro objective)