2.5 - Economic growth Flashcards
What is economic growth?
A rise in the real value of goods and services being produced in a given period of time
What causes short-run growth?
Changes to any of the components of aggregate demand (AD) will cause short-run economic growth to occur
- Can be illustrated on an AD/AS diagram by a rightward shift in AD
- It can also be illustrated by using the PPF model by moving from a point inside the curve to a point closer to the curve
What causes long-run growth?
Long-run economic growth is caused by any improvements to the quality or quantity of the factors of production - includes all of the determinants of long-run aggregate supply
e.g. discovery of new resources (land) such as oil will increase long-run economic growth
What is the difference between actual growth and potential growth?
Actual growth: occurs when there is an increase in the quantity of goods/services produced in an economy in a given period
Potential growth: a change in the productive potential of the economy over time, so the LRAS or PPF shifts
What is a long-term growth trend?
- The underlying trend rate of economic growth over a longer period of time
- This is determined by the constant increases in the productive capacity of an economy (aggregate supply)
- The increase in productive capacity is illustrated by a rightward shift of LRAS
- Use of long-term growth trends can reduce the impact of outliers in the data
What is an output gap?
The difference between the actual level of output (real GDP) and the maximum potential level of output
What is the difference between a positive and negative output gap?
Positive output gap: when real GDP is greater than the potential real GDP
Negative output gap: when the real GDP is less than the potential real GDP - spare capacity in the economy to produce more G&S
Why is it difficult to measure output gaps accurately?
- It’s hard to know exactly what the maximum productive potential of an economy is
- Rapidly rising prices can indicate a positive gap is developing
- Rising unemployment and slowdown in economic growth can indicate that a negative gap is increasing
What is a recession?
Two or more consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth
What is the importance of international trade for export-led growth? (define export-led growth)
- Export-led growth: where the driver of growth is an increase in the export component of AD
- Balance of payments will improve as more goods and services are sold abroad
- Makes exporters vulnerable to changes in demand in other countries, or exchange rates, which are out of their control
What constraints are there on growth?
- Absence of efficient capital markets -> asymmetric information in credit markets where the lender knows little about the borrower and charges high rates to cover high-risk
- Government instability: can’t attract investment and currency may be unstable
- Labour market problems: as countries get richer, birth rates tend to fall -> fall in labour supply in the long run
- External constraints: e.g. global recession
What is a boom?
A period of rapid economic expansion resulting in higher GDP, lower unemployment, a higher inflation rate, and rising asset prices
What are the benefits of economic growth?
- Consumers: incomes and wealth rises; increased job confidence; more employment opportunities & wage rises
- Firms: tend to make more profit -> firms can take on more workers + more likely to invest -> increases future growth prospects
- Governments: as income and assets rise, people pay more income tax + firms pay corporation tax; less benefits
- Current & future living standards: total incomes are rising so people feel better off; firms can afford cleaner technology; increased tax revenue = increased gov spending on improving infrastructure
What are the costs of economic growth?
- Income inequality: unwaged and unskilled are less likely to benefit from increased incomes
- Environmental problems: depletion of natural resources, pollution, etc -> however govs can use their increased tax revenue to enforce carbon control measures and clean up the environment
- Balance of payments problems on the current account: higher incomes -> domestic consumers demand more imports and there is less incentive for firms to export