4.5 - The Role of the State in the Macroeconomy Flashcards
What was a budget deficit?
When public expenditure is greater than tax revenue
Case study - What happened to the USA business cycle between 1918-1929?
- USA was initially in a boom -> continuous growth & 50% increase in output
- 1929 - stock market crashed -> bust -> fall in animal spirits -> 40% fall in average income & 25% rise in unemployment
Case study - What happened to Chile’s business cycle in the 1940s?
- Went through a boom in the 1940s due to effect industrialisations
- Went into a bust in 1982 -> GDP fell by 14.3% + unemployment
Case study - What happened to Japan’s business cycle post-war?
- Increased intelligence investment -> became a technology leader
- Went through a recession in 1991 -> decreased spending -> deflationary spiral
What is a cyclical deficit?
- When public expenditure increases and tax revenue decreases during a recession
- Recession -> fall in real GDP -> decreased production -> decreased workers needed -> derived demand for labour falls -> increased unemployment -> increased benefits & training -> decreased income tax revenue -> deficit
What causes a cyclical deficit?
- Recession -> fall in real GDP -> decreased production -> decreased workers needed -> derived demand for labour falls -> increased unemployment -> increased benefits & training -> decreased income tax revenue -> deficit
What is a structural deficit?
- A budget deficit that remains at any point of the business cycle
- It occurs when public expenditure is greater than tax revenue
- E.g. gov reduction in corporation tax to attract FDI
- Occurs as a result of active decisions by the government
What is national debt?
Give a case study example.
- Total debt built up by government borrowing over time
- Uk’s budget deficit has been falling since 2010, but national debt keeps rising (£1800bn in 2017)
What is the significance of budget deficits & national debt?
- All major developed countries have it - China has a national debt of $5tn & the US = $20tn, UK = more than $2tn
- Don’t matter too much - important to invest in the future now to keep encouraging growth & development e.g. Malawi subsidising fertilisers for farmers ($3tn debt)
What is financial crowding out?
- Increased gov borrowing ->increased interest rates -> decreased private sector investment (crowds firms out of business)
What is crowding out?
When gov borrows large sums of money -> increased demand for money -> increased price of money -> rise in interest rates
What is the impact of national debt on future generations?
- Budget deficit -> increased IR (borrowing to finance public expenditure) -> increased national debt -> increased interest that needs to be paid back -> national debt rises -> rise in taxes & public expenditure for future gens if repayment continues to be delayed -> fall in income & SoL
Why might national debt not be a problem? (eval)
- If money borrowed was used for capital expenditure
- National debt is a small percentage of GDP
- If they’re still able to continue to borrow at a low interest rate
What are the 3 types of public expenditure?
- Capital expenditure
- Current expenditure
- Transfer payments
What is capital expenditure? Give an example.
- What the government spends on long-term assets which have long-term rewards
- Examples: solar panels, building new hospitals
What is current expenditure? Give an example.
What the government spends on recurring costs, e.g. wages, teacher salaries, raw materials
What are transfer payments? Give an example.
- When the government spends money without getting anything in return e.g. benefits & foreign aid
What factors influence public expenditure?
- Age distribution
- Income
- Political values
How does age distribution influence public expenditure? Use 2 case study examples.
- Japan & Botswana
- High living standards -> high life expectancy - Japan is the oldest country in the world
- Japanese are very career focused -> have less children - 27% of the population are over 65 (highest worldwide)
- High spending on pensions & healthcare - pensions are 10% of Japan’s GDP
- 1 in 3 in Botswana are under 15 -> increased spending on education - 7.8% of their GDP is on education
How does income influence public expenditure? What is Wagner’s Law?
- Wagner said that as incomes rise -> increased demand for governemnt g&s -> increased public expenditure - demand for public sector goods = income elastic
- People in developing countries where incomes are low, demand basic necessities not costly public goods e.g. parks etc
- Inferior goods e.g. public transport system, education system
How do political values influence public expenditure? Use your case study example (compared to the USA)
- 50% of citizens say trust in Denmark gov each yr -> they are prepared to pay high taxes for high quality public services
- Denmark has the world’s highest taxes
- Denmark’s gov public expenditure is is 58% of GDP
- 18% trust in USA gov - citizens vote for low taxes & low public expenditure
How do changes in public expenditure affect productivity & growth?
- Increased capital & current expenditure (part of G component) -> AD rises -> growth
- More NHS funding -> improvements in healthcare -> increased productivity -> rise in LRAS -> growth
Evaluate the effects of changes in public expenditure on productivity & growth?
Spending may be eaten up by bureaucracy or spent inefficiently
How do changes in public expenditure affect living standards & equality?
- Increased transfer payments -> rise in income for society’s poorest -> close income gaps