Tectonic 1.8 Flashcards
What does prediction mean?
Knowing when are where a natural hazard will strike;
What scale is knowing when and where a natural hazard will strike based on?
Spatial and Temporal;
How can knowing when and where a natural hazard will strike be acted on?
Meaningfully in terms of evacuation;
How precise is forecasting in relation to prediction?
Less precise;
What does forecasting provide?
Percentage change of a hazard occurring;
Name an example of forecasting;
25% of a magnitude 7.0 earthquake occurring in the next 20 years;
Can earthquakes be predicted?
No;
What areas can be identified (risk forecasting) for earthquakes?
High risk areas;
What is considered a high risk area for earthquakes?
Severe ground shaking;
Liquefaction;
What can risk forecasting be used for?
Land-use zoning;
Areas that have not experienced an earthquake for some time and are ‘overdue’ can point to areas of high risk are known as?
Seismic gaps;
Can volcanic eruptions be predicted?
Yes
What does volcanic monitoring equipment mesure?
Changes in magma in chamber;
What record volcanoes ‘bulging’ as magma rises?
Tiltmeters and strain meters;
What records minor earthquakes indicating magma movement?
Seismometers;
What equipment analyses gas emissions which can point to increased eruption likelihood.?
Gas spectrometers;
What can the minimal death toll from volcanic eruptions (despite 60-80 eruptions per year) be mainly attributed to ?
Vastly improved prediction of these events;
Can Tsunamis be predicted?
Partly;
Can an earthquake induced tsunami be predicted?
No;