Lecture 17 Flashcards
what is a population
collection of individuals living in an area
population size = N
N0 = initial population when t = 0
population density
N/area
pop size - pop abundance
why do we care about the population size
- natural resource management - how much food we have
- conservation
- heath - viruses, bacteria, understanding the risk
- predicting human population growth - is there enough resources
what did Malthus say about human population growth
an essay on the principles of population
- The human population cannot grow faster than food production
the population bomb book
saying that with explosive population growth, the human population will have catastrophic social and environmental consequences
what is the goal of population models
to predict the population growth through time using equations
Nt = individuals in a population now
Nt+1 = f (Nt)
what are time steps
t+1
using differential equations - makes time steps very small = smooth growth = continuous reproduction
using difference equations - makes time as discrete units like days, years - growth is stepwise and bump = episodic reproduction = discrete-time approaches
birth and immigration rate
both are added to the population
- ignore immigration
death and emigration
both are leaving the population
- they are equivalent so we can ignore emigration
the model = only birth and death rates = fixed constants
what does green lambda mean
multiplicative factor by which population changes over one-time unit = finite rate of increase
lambda = Nt+1 / Nt
when Lambda > 1 = births exceed deaths = pop growth
when lambda < 1 = deaths exceed births = pop decline
what is the geometric growth model
discrete-time, step function, days, years
Nt = N0 L^t
when L > 1
what is the exponential function
instantaneous per capita rates of birth and death
b - d = r = constant = intrinsic rate of increase
Nt = N0 e ^rt
- smooth function
what happens when lambda increases and decreases in a geometric growth model
1.5 = growing very fast
below 1
0.8 = very steep decline
at 1 = straight horizontal line
what happens to the r when lambda increases in an exponential model
L = 1.5, r = 0.405 = increasing rapidly
L = below 1, r = negative value = rapidly decreasing
T/F both geometric and exponential have the same outcome and can be simplified to just exponential because the L and the r are constants
true
- both constants
- grow to +/- infinity