L5-6 Demography Flashcards
what is the age/sex structure of populations determined by
birth and death rates
what does an ageing population indicate
- Increased survival and decreased birth rates
* As populations age they also feminize (greater proportion women)
how do populations respond to resource/population dilemma
o increase in mortality (catastrophic, vices i.e. war, famine), or
o decrease in fertility (not enough resources, virtues)
what are the independent interval elements of life tables
- nx
- dx
- qx
- fx
what is nx
Independent • nx = Number entering an age class observed in a cohort LT, constructed in a synthetic LT o E.g. if x=0, how many births o X=1, howmany enter at age 1, how many are one
what is dx
independent
number who die during that period
what is qx
Age specific mortality = dx / nx
o = Number die in interval / number entering interval
what is fx
probability of woman giving birth during interval x
what are the cumulative interval elements of life tables
LX
Lex
TFR
what is lx
= probability of surviving to age x from birth = nx / n0 (if no emigrations) Each age interval is not independent
o L7 = prob to reach age 7 from birth (not during one interval or one year)
• Doesn’t show mechanisms, i.e. do neonates die or 6 yr olds die
o Must use different equation when indivs appear or disappear
what is lex
expected (=average) additional years to live at age x = “life expectancy” (each point reflects average future survival)
o Sum of death rates, given death profile of pop,
• When you’re born expect to live x years, but when your x years old expect to live x more years
• Life expectancy can increase
o Early death = approx 90 years NOT alive // more impact on life expectancy stats than later death who only loses 20 years to total (already contributed 70 years to numerator)
• Massive changes in historical = reduction of infant and child mortality NOT old people living longer
what is TFR
(females only) = total fertility rate = sum of fx over xi to x50
o Prob of giving birth at each age (15>50), what the prob of giving birth at x=4, 0)
• Total fert= SUM of these points
o Allows compare of pop
Define life expectancy at birth
‘Average number of years that a newborn is expected to
live if current mortality rates continue to apply.’ (WHO)
difference between Surivorship (Lx accumulative) vs Mortality (Qx)
Lx: survival from birth (accumulative)
qx
• Each age gap is independent
• Differential/comparision
why do males have higher survivorship (lx)
• Males tend to be higher survivorship
o Hyp: aspect of health that effects females disproportionally
o Hyp: Cultural favour of males
• Large death rate in first year