Judgement & Decision-Making Flashcards
decision-making
involves evaluating alternatives and making choices among them
availability bias
items that are more easily available in memory are judged as having occurred more frequently
framing effects
changing how an issue is presented can change people’s decisions
loss aversion
people tend to want to avoid losses more than they want to achieve gains
sunk-cost fallacy
being reluctant to abandon a course of action because of heavy investment in it, even if abandonment would be more beneficial
anchoring effect
the bias to be affected by an initial anchor, even if the anchor is arbitrary, and to insufficiently adjust our judgements away from that anchor
confirmation bias
tendency to search for confirming evidence, not disconfirming evidence
What decision-making bias does this show:
Josh believes that mortality rates from shark bites are higher than mortality rates from asthma.
availability bias
What decision-making bias does this show:
Josh is more likely to have a surgery with a 90% chance of survival than a 10% chance of mortality.
framing effects
What decision-making bias does this show:
Josh would rather go to an expensive concert while sick than stay at home and recover from his sickness.
sunk-cost fallacy
What decision-making bias does this show:
Josh rolls a 3 on a roulette wheel. After, when asked how many countries are in the UN, he says 12.
anchoring effect
What decision-making bias does this show:
Josh is a democrat and believes in a news article that says the Republican party supports legalizing eating animals because he hates republicans.
confirmation bias