Inferential Statistics: Uncertainty Flashcards
Inferential statistics?
Using sample data to make an inferences or conclusions on a population
Hypothesis testing?
Making decisions based on experimental data. Forming statistical method of assessing between two possible realities
Which hypothesis do you use for biomedical reserach?
Null hypothesis
What are the two possibilities of null hypothesis?
The data are either consistent with the null hypothesis of no effect.
Or
the data are not consistent with the null hypothesis of no effect
The p-value?
P-value is the level of marginal significance within a statistical hypothesis test, representing the probability of the occurrence of a given event.
The p-value is the probability that the null hypothesis is true. (1 – the p-value) is the probability that the alternative hypothesis is true. A low p-value shows that the results are replicable. A low p-value shows that the effect is large or that the result is of major theoretical, clinical or practical importance
Null-hypothesis?
(in a statistical test) the hypothesis that there is no significant difference between specified populations, any observed difference being due to sampling or experimental error.
Why is it called the null-hypothesis?
A scientific hypothesis is a statement of what theresearcher expects to find upon conducting a study. A statistical hypothesis, however, is a statement of what the statisticianexpects NOT to find. For this reason it is called a NULL hypothesis.
p=1
There was no effect. Same outcome for groups
p<1
There was no effect. Different outcome to exposure for groups.
p<0.05
Null hypothesis is not true. Making decisions based on the p-value
p=0.01
Evidence against the null hypothesis than p=1
What does a decrease in p value mean?
Decrease in p-value and that increases evidence false, since accumulating against the null hypothesis
NO true effect. Null hypothesis can be
What strongly influences the p-value?
Strongly influenced by sample size
P-value and effect size?
P-value is not measure of effect size
P-value and the importance of the finding
P-value is not a measure of the importance of the finding