Formulas Flashcards
Analogous Estimating
Described in section 6.4.2.2 uses value or attributes of a previous project that area similar to the current project values and attributes of the projects may include but are not limited to scope, cost, budget, duration, and measures of scale ( eg size, weight). Comparison of these project variables or attributes, become the basis for estimating the same parameter or measurement for the current project
Parametric Estimating
6.4.2.3 Parametric measuring uses a statistical relationship between relevant historical data and other variables ( eg square footage in a building construction) to calculate a cost estimate for project work. This technique can produce higher levels of accuracy depending on the sophistication and underlying data built in to the model. Parametric cost estimates can be applied to a total project or t osegments of a project, in conjunction with other estimating methods.
Parametric
of relating to a parameter. A constant in an equation that vary in other equations in general form One set of measurable factors. such as temperature and pressure that define a system and determine its behavior and are varied in an experiment.
analogous
Similar or alike in such a way as to permit the drawing of an analogy, similar or corresponding in some respect
Bottom up estimating
6.4.2.5 Bottom up estimating is a method of estimating a component of work the cost of individual work packages or activities is estimated to be the greatest level of specified detail. The detailed cost is then summarized or rolled up to higher levels for subsequent reporting and tracking purposes. The cost and accuracy of bottom up cost estimating are typically influenced by the size or other attributes of the individual activity or work percentage.
Three Point estimating
6.4.2.4 The accuracy of single point cost estimates may be improved by considering estimation uncertainty and risk using three estimates to define an approximate range for an activities cost
Most likely (cM)
The cost of an activity, based on realistic effort assessment for the required work and any predicted expenses.
Optimistic (cO)
The cost based on analysis on the best case scenario for the activity
Pessimistic
The cost based on analysis of the worst case scenario for the activity
Three point estimating finish sentence
Depending on the assumed distribution of values withing the range of the three estimates, the expected cost can be calculated using a formula. tow commonly used formulas are triangular and beta distributions.
Expected Cost (cE)
(cE)
Optimistic
(cO)
Most likely
(cM)
Triangular distribution
cE= (cO +cM+cP)/3
Triangular distribution in words
expected cost= (optimistic cost + most likely cost + pessimistic cost) /3
Beta distribution
cE= (cO + 4cM +cP)/6
beta distribution in words
expected cost = optimistic + 4* most likely cost +pessimistic cost)/6
Cost estimate statement
Cost estimates based on three points with an assumed distribution provide an expected cost and clarify the range of uncertanty around the expected cost
Data analysis
Data analysis techniques that can be used in the estimate costs process include but are not limited to Alternative analysis, Reserve analysis, cost of quality
Alternative analysis
alternative analysis is a technique used to evaluate identified options in order to select which options or approaches to use to execute and perform the work of the project. An example would be evaluating the cost, schedule, resource and quality impacts of buying versus making a deliverable
Reserve analysis
cost estimates may include contingency reserves or contingency allowances to account for cost uncertainty. Contingency reserves are the budget within the cost baseline that is allocated for identified risks. Contingency reserves are often viewed as part of the budget intended to address the known unknowns that can affect a project. Foe example, re work for some project deliverables could be anticipated, while the amount of this rework is unknown. Contingency reserves may be estimated to account for this unknown amount of re work. Contingency reserves can be provided at any level from the specified activity to the entire project. The contingency reserve may be a percentage of the estimated cost, a fixed number, or may be developed by using quantitative analysis methods. As more precise information about the project becomes available, the contingency reserve may be used, reduced, or eliminated. Contingency should be clearly identified in cost documentation. Contingency reserves are part of the cost baseline and the overall funding requirement for the project.
Contingency reserves AKA
AKA contingency allowances
Contigency reserves
contingency reserves are the budget within the cost baseline that is allocated for identified risks
Cost of quality
Assumptions about cost of quality (8.1.2.3) may be used to prepare the estimates. This included evaluating the cost impact of additional investment in conformance versus the cost of non conformance. It can also include looking at short -term cost reductions versus the implication of more frequent problems later on in the product life cycle.
PV
Planned value
PV definition
The authorized budget assigned to scheduled work. The value of the work planned to be completed t oa point in time, usually the data table, or project completion
EV
Earned value
EV definition
The measure of work performed expressed in terms of the budget authorized for that work,
EV how it’s used
The planned value of all of the work completed (earned) to a point in time, usually the data date, without reference to actual cost
EV formula
Ev= sum of the planned value of completed work
AC
Actual cost
AC definition
The realized cost incurred for the work performed on an activity during a specified time period
AC how it’s used
The actual cost of all of the work completed to a point in time ,usually the data date
BAC
Budget at comparison
BAC Definition
The sum of all budgets established for the work to be performed
BAC
The value of total planned work, the project baseline
product baseline
BAC