8.2 Alternative Investment performance and returns Flashcards
assessing the performance of investments in alternative assets can be complicated by the following factors:
Lags between the timing of when capital is committed, when it is actually invested, and when redemptions are received.
The impact of leverage
Differences in methods used to value different types of positions or the same positions over the course of their investment horizon
Complex fee structures and tax considerations
Four key issues to consider when assessing the performance of alternative investments
the investment life cycle
the use of borrowed funds
asset valuation methods
fees.
While the life cycles of investments in different types of alternative assets differ, they tend to follow the same general three-stage pattern:
Capital commitment
Capital deployment
Capital distribution
Capital commitment
When a fund is launched, investors make capital commitments that are drawn upon (or called) by the manager as investment opportunities arise.
The negative outflows in early years are exacerbated by the convention of calculating management fees based on committed capital rather than called capital or assets under management.
Capital deployment
Negative returns continue during the beginning of this phase as additional investments are made and management fees continue to be charged.
However, the net rate of cash of outflows slows as inflows begin to accumulate from investments that were made in the previous phase.
By the end of this phase, inflows are roughly equal to outflows.
Capital distribution
While more investments continue to be made, the level of outflows is significantly lower than what was needed during the previous phases.
While the level of inflows gradually declines, net cash flows are positive for investors throughout this longest phase of the cycle.
Investors receive a final distribution when all positions have been liquidated.
J-curve effect
A typical private equity investment vehicle exhibits a J-curve effect over the course of its life, with negative cash flows over an initial number of years followed by years of net inflows
Real estate funds follow a similar pattern with substantive cash outlays needed to purchase and upgrade improvements, followed by years of net inflows from contractual rent payments and property sales
The internal rate of return (IRR)
a key metric in evaluating the performance of private equity and real estate investments.
Its calculation is affected by the timing and magnitude of the cash inflows and cash outflows, which is fair given that managers have discretion over these factors
However, a drawback of the IRR measure is that it is based on certain assumptions about a financing rate for outgoing cash flows and a reinvestment rate for incoming cash flows.
multiple of invested capital (MOIC) metric
also known as the money multiple on total paid-in capital (paid-in capital less management fees and fund expenses)
MOIC measures the total value of all distributions and residual asset values relative to an initial total investment.
While this is an intuitive metric that has the advantage of simplicity relative to IRR, it completely ignores the timing of cash flows.
multiple of invested capital (MOIC) formula
MOIC = (Realized value + Unrealized value of investment) / Total amount of investment
Assets can be classified into the following categories for valuation purposes:
Level 1 assets
Level 2 assets
Level 3 assets
Level 1 assets
traded on a public exchange.
These quoted prices should be used whenever they are available.
Level 2 assets
valued based on quotes from brokers if a Level 1 pricing is unavailable.
When valuing these assets, it is common for funds to base their valuations on the average of the bid and ask prices.
However, the more conservative and theoretically accurate approach is to use the bid prices for long positions and ask prices for short positions.
Level 3 assets
valued using internal models if a Level 2 pricing is unavailable.
Investors should scrutinize these valuations because they are based on estimates rather than observable transaction prices.
Ideally, the models used for valuations of this nature will be independently tested and calibrated to acceptable standards.
However, “mark-to-model” pricing produces more theoretical valuations rather than true liquidation values and can lead to smoothed valuations that overstate returns and understate a portfolio’s volatility.
The vehicles that are commonly used for investing in alternative assets are typically designed to meet the following objectives:
- The return of capital to investors
- A minimum level of return on capital (i.e., hurdle rate)
- Performance-based compensation for managers if the first two objectives are achieved