24 - Weapons Selection Intro & Probability

Question 1

Types of Weapons

Answer 1

• Guns
• Missile
• Bomb
• Torpedo
• Mine

Question 2

Terminal Effect of Kinetic Impact

Answer 2

Kinetic energy from the weapon’s motion is couple to the target resulting in damage

Question 3

Terminal Effect of a Warhead

Answer 3

Weapon delievers warhead to desired Aim Point, and Warhead creates a secondary effect

Question 4

Weapon Selection Factors

Answer 4

1. Track
2. Inventory
3. Weapon Kinematics
4. Desired Effect
5. Counter DTE & Collateral Damage

Question 5

Weapon Selection Factor:
Track

Answer 5

Target and Track appropriate weapon selected
1. Track Classification
2. Quality of Track

Question 6

Weapon Selection Factor:
Inventory

Answer 6

Save high end weapons for the high end threat
1. Inventory
2. Conservation of Inventory

Question 7

Weapon Selection Factor:
Weapon Kinematics

Answer 7

Low accuracy requires high Area of Effect or high # of munitions launched for same effect
1. Method of Propulsion
2. Accuracy
3. Area of Effect

Question 8

Weapon Selection Factor:
Desired Effect

Answer 8

1. Kill
2. Mission Kill
3. Suppression
4. Psychological

Question 9

Weapon Selection Factor: Counter DTE / Collateral Damage

Answer 9

1. Counter DTE - Risk to Force/Weapon
   - Launching Unit
   - Weapon Intercept
2. Collateral Damage - Risk of unintentional damage
   - Accuracy
   - Area of Effect

Officers determine acceptable risk

Question 10

What is the Probability of Kill (P</sub>k₎

Answer 10

Probability of achieving Desired Effect with a given weapon

Question 11

Counter DTE

Answer 11

Risk to Force/Weapon
- Launching Unit
- Weapon Intercept

Question 12

Collateral Damage

Answer 12

Risk of unintentional damage
- Accuracy
- Area of Effect

Question 13

Statistically Independent Events

Answer 13

P(A and B) = P(A) * P(B)

Question 14

Mutually Exclusive Events

Answer 14

P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) = 1

P(A and B) = 0