Week 6 Decision Making and Creativity Flashcards
Rational choice paradigm of decision making
Decision making: the _____ process of making _____ among with the intention of moving towards some desired state of affairs.
conscious, choices, alternatives
There are Two key elements of rational choice paradigm:
Subjective expected utility - determines choice with highest value (maximisation)
Decision-making process - systematic application of stages of decision making
Rational choice paradigm of decision making
Definition: the view in decision making that people should – and typically do – use logic and all available information to choose the alternative with the highest value
Rational choice paradigm:
Rational choice paradigm of decision making
Definition: Ultimate principle of rational choice paradigm is to choose the alternative with the highest _____ _____ _____ – the probability (expectation) of satisfaction (utility) resulting from choosing a specific alternative in a decision.
subjective expected utility
There are 7 steps in the Rational Choice Decision-Making Process
- Identify problem or opportunity - Symptom vs problem
- Choose the best decision process
- Discover or develop possible choices.
- Discover or develop possible choices
- Select the choice with the highest value
- Implement the selected choice
- Evaluate the selected choice
What are 3 Problems with rational choice paradigm
- Assumes that people are efficient and logical information processing machines
- Focuses on logical thinking and completely ignores emotions.
3 People have difficulty recognising problems and failures and cannot simultaneously process huge volumes of information.
Identifying Problems and Opportunities - Problems with problem identification
What are the 5 most widely recognised concerns
Stakeholder framing Mental models Decisive leadership Solution-focused problems Perceptual defence
Name that problem
_______ ______: The process where ______ filter information to amplify or suppress the seriousness of the situation, which highlights/hides specific problems and opportunities.
Stakeholder framing: stakeholders
Name that problem
_____ _____: inhibit recognition of unique problems or opportunities because they product a negative evaluation of things that are dissimilar to the mental model
Mental models
Name that problem
_____ _____: Even though employees rate this type of person as more affective, due to being able to quickly form an opinion about a problem or opportunity, studies have found that quicker decisions don’t always allow for logical assessment
Decisive leadership
Name that problem
_____ _____ _____: Occurs when all problems seen as solutions that have worked well in the past, even though circumstances are different
Situation-focused problems
Name that problem
_____ _____ _____: Occurs when a person blocks out bad news as a defence/coping mechanism
Perceptual defence
- Be aware of perceptual and diagnostic limitations
- Fight against pressure to look decisive
- Maintain ‘divine discontent’ (aversion to complacency)
- Discuss the situation with colleagues—see different perspectives.
These are all ways of:
Identifying problems and opportunities more effectively
Evaluating and choosing alternatives
Which Nobel Prize winner argued that
People engage in bounded rationality – the view that people are bounded in their decision-making capabilities, including access to limited information, limited information processing and a tendency to practice satisficing rather than maximising when making choices.
Herbert Simon
Rational choice paradigm assumptions vs.
Goals are clear, compatible and agreed upon
Observations from organisational behaviour
Goals are ambiguous, in conflict and lack full support
Rational choice paradigm assumptions vs.
Decision makers can calculate all alternatives and their outcomes
Observations from organisational behaviour
Decision makers have limited information-processing abilities
Rational choice paradigm assumptions vs.
Decision makers evaluate all alternatives simultaneously
Observations from organisational behaviour
Decision makers evaluate alternatives sequentially
Rational choice paradigm assumptions vs.
Decision makers use absolute standards to evaluate alternatives
Observations from organisational behaviour
Decision makers evaluate alternatives against implicit favourite
Rational choice paradigm assumptions vs.
Decision makers use factual information to choose alternatives
Observations from organisational behaviour
Decision makers process perceptually distorted information
Rational choice paradigm assumptions vs.
Decision makers choose the alternative with the highest pay-off
Observations from organisational behaviour
Decision makers choose the alternative that is good enough (satisficing)
Problems with information processing
Decision makers typically evaluate alternatives sequentially rather than simultaneously. Each alternative is compared to an _____ _____
implicit favourite
Problems with information processing
Definition: a preferred alternative that the decision maker uses repeatedly as a comparison with other choices.
implicit favourite
What are non-conscious modes of reasoning or rules of thumb
Biased decision heuristics
Name 3 widely studied heuristics biases
Anchoring and adjustment heuristic
Availability heuristic
Representativeness heuristic
a natural tendency for people to be influenced by an initial anchor point such that they do not sufficiently move away from that point as new information is provided
Anchoring and adjustment heuristic
Decision quality will often be enhanced by the use of systematic evaluation, where relevant factors are listed and alternatives scored against each one. Why is this so?
Humans are not able to process all the information in their heads
Name that Biased decision heuristic
A natural tendency to assign higher probabilities to objects or events that are easier to recall from memory, even though ease of recall is also affected by non-probability factors (e.g. emotional response, recent events)
Availability heuristic
Name that Biased decision heuristic
It has natural tendency to evaluate probabilities of events of objects by the degree to which they resemble (are representative of) other events or objects rather than on objective probability information
Representativeness heuristic