Valuations Flashcards
What should you check when commencing a valuation instruction?
- Competence
- Independence - COI
- Issue Terms of Engagement
What is included in statutory due diligence for a valuation?
Undertaken to check there are no material matters that could impact the valuation:
- Asbestos register
- Council tax
- Contamination
- Equality Act (2010) compliance
- High voltage power lines / substations / telecoms
- EPC rating
- Flooding
- Fire safety compliance
- H&S compliance
- Highways (roads adopted?)
- Legal title and tenure
- Public rights of way
- Planning history and compliance
What are the steps in a valuation instruction?
- Receive instruction
- Competence
- Independence
- Issue TOE
- Receive TOE signed
- Gather leases, title docs, planning info, OS plans
- Due diligence (as above)
- Inspect and measure
- Market research and analyse comps
- Undertake valuation
- Draft report
- Vet report
- Finalise and sign
- Report to client
- Invoice
- File in archives
What are the five methods of valuation?
- Comparative
- Investment
- Profits
- Residual
- Depreciated replacement cost
What are the three approaches to valuation?
- Income (investment, residual, profits)
- Cost (DRC)
- Market (comparative)
Talk me through the comparative method?
- Find comps
- Find headline rent to give a net effective rent (as appropriate)
- Assemble in schedule
- Adjust using hierarchy of evidence
- Opinion of value
- Report value and prepare file note
Talk me through the hierarchy of evidence?
- Category A (direct comps)
- Category B (general market data)
- Category C (other sources)
What is included in Cat A?
- Completed transactions of identical
- Completed transactions of similar
- Offers on similar
- Asking prices
What is included in Cat B?
- Info from public sources or commercial databases
- Indirect evidence (indices)
- Historic evidence
- Demand / supply data for rent / owner occupier / investment
What is included in Cat C?
- Evidence from other use classes or locations
- Interest rates / stock market movements / returns which can indicate yields
How can you find relevant comps?
- Inspection
- Local agents
- Auction results
- In-house records
- Market sentiment
When is the investment method of valuation used?
- When there is an income stream to value
- The rental income is capitalised to produce a capital value
- Assumes growth implicit (rental growth built into yield)
Talk me through the conventional investment method of investment? Growth implicit
Market Rent x Years Purchase = Market Value, or
Market Rent / Yield = Market Value
YP: The number of number required for the market rent to yield its market value
Calculation for YP: If Yield is 4%, 100/4 (or 1/0.04) = 25, YP is 25
Talk me through the term and reversion method of investment? Growth implicit
Used for under rented properties when rent passing rent needs to REVERT to market rent
- Passing rent capitalised until rent review / lease expiry at an initial yield
- Reversion to market rent in perpetuity at a reversionary yield
What is an initial yield?
Simple income yield for current income and current price
What is a reversionary yield?
Market rent divided by current price on an investment let at a rent below the market rent
Talk me through the layer / hardcore method? Growth implicit
Used for over rented properties when rent passing is more than market rent
- Bottom slice is market rent at lower yield
- Top slice is rent passing less market rent until next lease event at higher yield (reflects additional risk)
What is a yield?
Measure of investment return, expressed as a percentage of capital invested
Yield = Rent / Value x 100
Determined by comparable evidence
How does risk affect yield?
Relates to:
- Prospects for rental growth / capital growth
- Quality of location / covenant
- Use of property
- Lease terms
- Obsolescence - likely future rate?
- Voids - what is risk?
- Security and regularity of income?
- Liquidity - ease of sale
Talk me through the Discounted Cash Flow Technique (type of Investment method) Growth explicit?
Value found by examining future cash flow discounted back to current value
Used if cash flows are over a finite period (like short leases, phased development projects, alternative investments, over rented properties and social housing)
- Estimate cash flow (income - expenditure)
- Estimate exit value
- Select discount rate
- Discount cash flow at discount rate (IRR)
- Value (aka the Net Present Value) is sum of completed discounted cash flow
What is IRR?
The rate of return at which all future cashflows must be discounted to produce NPV of zero
How do you calculate IRR?
- Input current market value as negative cash flow
- Input projected rents over holding period as a positive value
- Input projected exit value at the end of the term assumed as a positive value
- Discount rate (IRR) is the rate chosen which provides a NPV of zero
- If NPV is more than zero, then IRR is met
Talk me through the profits method of valuation?
- Used when value of property depends upon the profitability of the business rather than property itself e.g. pubs / nurseries / healthcare
- Requires audited accounts for 3 years
- Annual turnover - less costs = Gross profit
- Gross profit - less working expenses = Unadjusted net profit
- Unadjusted net profit - less operator’s remuneration = Adjusted net profit (Fair Maintainable Operating Profit)
This can also be expressed as EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation, amortisation)
Capitalised at appropriate yields for market value
Talk me through the difference between a development appraisal and a residual valuation?
Development appraisal - Viability of a proposed development
Residual valuation - Market value of the site at a moment in time
What is GDV?
- Market value of completed proposed development at today’s date
- Comparable method used to establish rents and yield
- All Risks Yield
- Allowance for rent-free period / tenant’s incentives / marketing void can be assumed
- Purchaser’s costs usually deducted for commercial property valuations
What is an all risks yield?
Remunerative rate of interest used in the valuation of fully let property at market rent reflecting all prospects and risks attached to the particular investment
What are included in development costs?
- Site preparation
- Planning costs
- Building costs
- Professional fees
- Contingency
- Marketing fees and costs
What does site preparation include?
Demolition, remediation works, landfill tax, provision of services, site clearance, levelling, fencing
What do planning costs include?
S106 payments, CIL payments, AH level, planning policy requirements like open spaces / playgrounds, section 278 payments for highways, planning application fees, building regulation fees, planning consultant, specialist reports (EIA)
What do building costs include?
- Total cost of building works
- From client info, quantity surveyor, building surveyor, BCIS (GIA basis)
What do professional fees include?
10-15% of construction costs
Architects, M&E, PMs, Structures, CDM Principal Designer
What do marketing costs and fees include?
- EPC
- NHBC warranty (for resi schemes)
- Sales fee 1-2% GDV, Letting fee 10% annual rent
What is the finance rate?
- SONIA rate
- Bank of England Base Rate + Risk
- Rate at which developer can borrow money
Why will the developer need to borrow money?
- Site purchase (compound interest - straight line)
- Construction and associated costs (S curve)
- Holding costs to cover voids (empty rates, service charges, interest charges) (compound interest - straight line)
What is an S curve?
Construction costs take form of an S over the time of development projects
Shows when money is likely to be drawn down
What is developer’s profit?
Percentage of GDV or total construction costs (15-20% depending on risk)
- Percentage of profit is higher at the moment due to riskier market conditions
- Cross check with comparables
What is development finance?
- Debt finance (borrowing)
- Equity finance (selling shares in company)
What is loan to value ration (LTV)?
Typically in region of 60%
What is senior debt?
First level of borrowing which takes precedence over secondary / mezzanine
What is mezzanine funding?
Additional funding for monies required over normal LTV
What is a swap rate?
Market interest rate for fixed term loans
What are other methods of finance?
- JV
- Forward sales
Silvertown is combination of JV funding from Starwood, debt financed through Homes England loan
What is Overage?
Sharing extra receipts over or above the profits expected, also known as ‘claw-back’
What is VAT?
Payable on all professional fees
What is the profit erosion period?
Length of time it will take for the development profit to be eroded by holding charges following the completion of the scheme, until the profit has been drawn down
What are some limitations of residual valuation methodology and financial modelling?
- Rely on accurate inputs
- Residual valuations do not consider timing of cash flow
- Sensitive to minor adjustments
- Implicit assumptions hidden and not explicit (unlike DCF)
- Always cross check with comparable
What is a sensitivity analysis?
Shows range of values
Three forms of sensitivity analysis?
- Simple (on yields, GDV, build costs, finance rate)
- Scenario (development content, timing, costs, phasing the scheme or modifying design)
- Monte Carlo simulation (probability theory, like Crystal Ball)
What does the RICS Professional Standard: Valuation of Development Property (2019) stipulate?
- Supplements IVS ‘Development Property’
- Stipulate if assumption or special assumption
- Comparative method should be cross checked with residual method, don’t rely on one method if possible
- For lengthy projects, DCF might be best used
- Risk analysis so scenarios can be modelled, risk and return levels should be explicitly stated in the valuation report
- When valuing land, determine land plus costs, and completed development minus costs - check against each other
- Valuation reported as single figure
What is an assumption?
A reasonable thing for the valuer to accept without specific investigation
A valuer might make an assumption about the treatment of purchaser’s costs when using an income capitalization approach