Uncertainties Flashcards
Uncertainty Types:
Known gap in knowledge, known unknowns, lack of research on the question
Deficient Uncertainty
Uncertainty Types:
Measurement error, modeling approximates, statistical assumptions
Technical Uncertainty
Uncertainty Types:
Collective discord or accord with research, varying opinions regarding question
Consensus Uncertainty
Uncertainty Types:
Knowledge is tentative forever, future research, data, or theory will change how we view current set of knowledge
Scientific Uncertainty
Article Uncertainty:
In the article of GROUP 1 “Climate Change Anxiety and Mental Health: Environmental Activism as Buffer,” what are the types of uncertainty present?
Deficient and Consensus
Article Uncertainty:
In the article of GROUP 2 “Thawing Permafrost Poses environmental Threat to Thousands of Sites with Legacy Industrial Contamination,” what are the types of uncertainty present?
Technical and Scientific
Article Uncertainty:
In the article of GROUP 3 “Mining and Diversity,” what are the types of uncertainty present?
Deficient and Scientific
Article Uncertainty:
In the article of GROUP 4 “Climate Change Effects in a Mediterranean Forest Following 21 Consecutive Years of Experimental Drought ,” what are the types of uncertainty present?
Technical and Scientific
Article Uncertainty:
In the article of GROUP 5 “The Great Pacific Garbage Patch,” what are the types of uncertainty present?
Scientific
Article Uncertainty:
In the article of GROUP 6 “Impacts of Ocean Acidification on Marine Organisms: Quantifying Sensitivities and Interaction with Warming,” what are the types of uncertainty present?
Technical and Scientific
Article Eco Service:
In the article of GROUP 1 “Climate Change Anxiety and Mental Health: Environmental Activism as Buffer,” what types of services are present?
Regulating and Cultural
Article Eco Service:
In the article of GROUP 2 “Thawing Permafrost Poses environmental Threat to Thousands of Sites with Legacy Industrial Contamination,” what types of services are present?
Regulating and Provisioning
Article Eco Service:
In the article of GROUP 3 “Mining and Biodiversity,” what types of services present?
Cultural and Provisioning
Article Eco Service:
In the article of GROUP 4 “Climate Change Effects in a Mediterranean Forest Following 21 Consecutive Years of Experimental Drought,” what types of services are present?
Regulating and Supporting
Article Eco Service:
In the article of GROUP 5 “The great Pacific Garbage Patch,” what types of services are present?
Regulating and Supporting
Article Eco Service:
In the article of GROUP 6 “Impacts of Ocean Acidification on Marine Organisms: Quantifying Sensitivities and Interaction with Warming,” what types of services are present?
Regulating and Supporting
Planetary Boundaries:
change in ratio of incoming and outgoing energy of Earth caused by increased GHGs and aerosols. More trapped radiation caused as an increase in global temperatures and alters climate patterns
Climate Change
Planetary Boundaries:
synthetic chemicals and substances (microplastics, endocrine disruptors, organic pollutants), anthropogenically mobilized radioactive materials (nuclear waste, nuclear weapons) and human interventions in evolutionary processes, such as genetically modified organisms (GMOS) and other direct modification of evolution
Novel entities
Planetary Boundaries:
the stratospheric ozone layer protects life on Earth from harmful UV radiation. The thinning of the ozone layer in the upper atmosphere, primarily due to human made chemicals, allows more harmful UV radiation to reach Earth’s surface
Stratospheric Ozone Depletion
Planetary Boundaries:
rise in airborne particles form human activities or natural sources influenced the climate by altering temperature and precipitation. The rise in airborne particles from human activities or natural sources influences the climate by altering temperature and precipitation patterns. Currently the interhemispheric difference in atmospheric aerosol loading is within the Safe Operating Space
Atmospheric Aerosol Loading
Planetary Boundaries:
the phenomenon of increasing acidity (decreasing pH) in ocean water due to the absorption of atmospheric CO2. The process arms calcifying organisms, impacting marine ecosystems and reduces the oceans efficiency in acting as a carbon sink. The indicator for ocean acidification, the current aragonite saturation state, is within the Safe Operating Space but is close to crossing the safe boundary
Ocean Acidification
Planetary Boundaries:
the disruption of the natural nutrient cycles of key elements like nitrogen and phosphorus through the environment and organism, which are crucial for supporting life and maintaining ecosystems. Both the global phosphorus flow into the ocean and the industrial fixation of nitrogen (extracting nitrogen from the atmosphere) are disrupting the corresponding nutrient cycles beyond the safe level
Modification of Biogeochemical Flows
Planetary Boundaries:
the alteration of freshwater cycles, including rivers and soil moisture, impacts natural functions such as carbon sequestration and biodiversity and can lead lead to shifts in precipitation levels. Human induced disturbances of both blue water (river, and lakes) and green water (soil, moisture) have exceeded the safe level
Fresh Water Change
Planetary Boundaries:
transformation of natural landscapes, such as through deforestation and urbanization, diminishes ecological functions like carbon sequestration, moisture recyling , and habitats for wildlife, all crucial for earth system health
Land System Change
Planetary Boundaries:
the decline in the diversity, extent, and health of living organisms and ecosystems, threatens the biospheres ability to co regulate the state of the planet by impacting the energy balance and chemical cycles on earth. Both the loss of genetic diversity and the devling in the functional integrity of the biosphere, have exceeded their safe levels.
Changed in Biosphere Integrity
Has Novel Entities been crossed?
Yes
Has Climate Change been crossed?
Yes
Has Biosphere Integrity been crossed?
Yes
Has Land-System Change been crossed?
Yes
Has Freshwater Change been crossed?
Yes
Has Biogeochemical Flows been crossed?
Yes
Has Ocean Acidification been crossed?
No but near
Has Atmospheric Aerosol Loading been crossed?
No
Has Stratospheric Ozone Depletion been crossed?
No
