Topic 7 - EQ3 - Superpowers Flashcards

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1
Q

Which superpower has the most coal and mineral reserves?

A

China

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2
Q

Which two superpowers have the most oil and gas reserves?

A

USA and Russia

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3
Q

Which two superpowers have the most ‘people power’ (highest population)?

A

China and India

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4
Q

Why is resource wealth important to superpowers?

A

Superpowers are fuelled by resources. Human capital and human resources is increasingly economically important for innovation and entrepreneurship BUT physical resources are still important - oil is the lifeblood of industrialised economies and a variety of resources are key in manufacturing.

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5
Q

Why are there tensions in the Arctic over contested resources?

A

-Mineral wealth beneath Arctic increasing accessible because of sea melting from cc + permafrost melting makes it less difficult to drill into arctic ground
-There are vast amounts of proven oil and gas reserves (25% of undiscovered global gas and 12% of undiscovered oil)
-Contest over what is an extension of each Arctic country’s continental shelf beyond the 200 nautical miles mark has created overlapping claims

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6
Q

Why will control over the Arctic become more desirable over time?

A

-Sea ice melting (extensive in summer due to CC) opening NW passage to W USA and Northern Sea route to E Asia (over top of the world) creates valuable alternatives to the Suez or Panama canals = countries with access to Arctic sea have a competitive advantage
-Permafrost melting makes it less difficult to drill into arctic ground and access resources

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7
Q

How are Arctic nations responding to tensions in the Arctic with expressions of hard power?

A

-Since 2002, Canada has carried out military exercises in the Arctic and has recently committed to Spending 3.5bn CAD on Arctic defence
-Denmark creating Arctic military command and response force
-Russia carried out Arctic bomber patrols, upgraded navy, re-opened soviet army bases… general process of Arctic militarisation clear

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8
Q

How are Arctic nations responding to tensions on the Arctic with expressions of soft power?

A

-2014 Denmark claimed section of Arctic setting precedent that Arctic countries can control seabed within 200 nautical miles of its coast (Russia, Canada, USA and Norway all made similar claims as a result) and within this claimed area each country has sovereignty over this ‘Exclusive Economic Zone’ - BUT this still leaves lots of Arctic seabed unowned except for if a country can claim it is an extension of their continental shelf = highly contentious int’l disputes
-2007 Russian submarine sailed beneath N Pole and placed a Russian flag on the seabed staking claim to the resources there (claim it is an extension of Russian continental shelf)

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9
Q

How have violations of intellectual property developed in a globalised world?

A

With the globalisation of ideas, commerce and technological innovation, protecting intellectual property via patents and copyright has been difficult.

Emerging countries, e.g. China, Indonesia, India…, have become key markets for counterfeit goods (most common way to violate int’l property rights) either because the gov’t is unable to enforce regulations or it lacks the will to. Estimated 5-10% of world trade is in counterfeit goods. China accounts for 70% of all counterfeit goods.

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10
Q

How may international intellectual property rights (patents and copyright) may cause tensions in international relations?

A

Counterfeiting is thought to cost hundreds of thousands of jobs in places such as the US and EU and hundreds of billions of lost revenue yearly.

Often a large counterfeit = limited possibility of trade agreements if one side refuses to play by the rules of international commerce (extensive counterfeiting is often symptomatic of an uncooperative government). Counterfeiting has arguably soured US-China relations as US TNCs like Apple, Nike… are most commonly counterfeited.

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11
Q

What is a sphere of influence?

A

A physical region over which a country believes it has rights to economic, military or political influence. Spheres of influence extend beyond the borders of the country.

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12
Q

Who are the main players in the S China Sea dispute?

A

-China (claims largest portion stretching hundred of miles S and E on basis of extended continental shelf)
-Taiwan (claims Spratly islands)
-The Philippines (scarborough shoal clash with China)
-Brunei
-Malaysia (claims some Spratlys)
-Vietnam (claims it has ruled the Spratlys since the 17th C and fiercely clash with China)
-India (more recent)

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13
Q

How has hard power been exercised in the S China Sea?

A

-Chinese clashes with Vietnam (1974 China seized Paracel Islands, 1988 clashed in the Spratlys - over 100 Vietnamese troops and sailors killed - and in 2012 two Vietnamese exploration operations were sabotaged by the Chinese Navy and later in 2014 there were numerous collisions between ships as China established a drilling rig near the Paracel Islands)
-Chinese standoff with the Philippines (2012 the countries entered a lengthy maritime standoff over Scarborough shoal and in 2013 Philippines said it was taking China to the UN over violations of the UN Laws of the Sea)

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14
Q

What are the barriers to the resolution in the S China Sea?

A

China’s relative size, clout, military might and power on int’l stage in relativity to the other players.

China has been determined to engage in bilateral negotiations only so it can dominate smaller nations, but many have called for it to negotiate with ASEAN (10 country regional group representing all players in the region) - China has refused.

The Philippines took China to the UN over UN Laws of the Sea violations and in 2016 the UN tribunal backed the Philippines - stated that China had violated Filipino sovereignty - China has boycotted the proceedings.

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15
Q

What is the founding for Russian aggression on its Western Border?

A

Russian influence undoubtedly extends beyond its western border into Europe.

Old Russian communities exist across former Soviet Republics and former Russian Empire territory - e.g. Eastern Ukraine (Donetsk, Luhansk, Crimea), the Baltic states (¼ of Latvia is ethnically Russian), Transnistria part of Moldova and Belarus. Russia uses these communities to justify aggression and claims of land - e.g. foundation for 2014 invasion of Crimea and 2022 invasion of Ukraine was on the grounds of protecting the human rights of Ethnic Russians from a ‘Nazi’ Ukraine…
BUT it was also because Russia was increasingly anxious that Ukraine was moving towards the EU and NATO and into the Western European sphere of influence whilst traditionally it has been firmly in the Russian sphere. The same issues apply in the Baltic states which have already joined NATO.

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16
Q

What is the chief emerging power that is developing new ties with the developing world?

A

China

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17
Q

What are some examples of China forging ties with the developing world outside of Africa?

A

‘Dry Panama Canal’ in Colombia - China and Colombia in talks to build a railroad across Colombia to be an alternative to the Panama Canal (traditionally US dominated). Benefits Chinese trade interests and also develops infrastructure connecting the two coasts of Colombia.

‘String of Pearls’ - network/relationship of Chinese military and commercial facilities along its sea lines of communication. Stretches from China to the Horn of Africa via Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Pakistan…).

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18
Q

Why have the Chinese expanded their influence in Africa?

A

China’s investment into the African continent has grown exponentially in recent times to fuel its rapid economic development. China needs to secure a reliable supply of raw materials and a growing market for its manufactured goods and Africa is the answer. China is now Africa’s largest trade partner, buying about 1/3 of its oil from the continent (Angola, Nigeria, Sudan…). In 2015, Chinese-African trade totalled over $160 billion generating both opportunities and challenges within Africa and China.

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19
Q

What sort of dependency relationship does Chinese involvement in Africa create?

A

Increased interdependence:
-China relies on Africa for its natural resources (e.g. oil from Angola or copper from Zambia) and a cheap labour force
-Africa relies on China for its manufactured goods

20
Q

How have these new relationships between Africa and China increased Chinese political power?

A

Economic investment is used as a tool for political bargaining.

If an African country votes with China in the UN (e.g. over Taiwan) they get 1.8 more new infrastructure projects from China yearly - if they do something to support Taiwan they get 2.7 fewer projects per year. Promise of infrastructure development puts African countries in Chinese pocket geopolitically.

21
Q

Do Chinese-African relationships have any requirements for improved human rights?

A

No. Chinese loans have no conditions for elections or the respect of human rights enabling the continuation of governmental malpractice - unlike American loans which had requirements for democracy (but also neoliberal economics).

22
Q

In what ways is the Chinese-African relationship a neocolonial exploitative one?

A

China is exploiting Africa’s cheaper natural resources, but also its cheap labour and low skilled population which it can now start using for cheaper manufacturing projects (similar conditions to China in the late 20thC) - China’s new China?

Furthermore, China is also using the promise of economic development as a bargaining tool to get African nations to politically support China. China is also using developing African nations to establish a global military presence - e.g. strategic military base in Djibouti right by the chokepoint that is the Horn of Africa (but 5 other countries do have military bases in Djibouti already).

23
Q

In what ways is the Chinese-African relationship beneficial for Africa?

A

-China is developing transport infrastructure (3.2bn USD high speed railway project across Kenya, and the first light rail system in Africa in Addis Ababa to tackle traffic)
-China is developing renewable energy infrastructure (561m USD dam in Guinea to help Guinea achieve energy stability as it suffers from constant energy cutouts)
-China gives large zero-interest loans with no (official) strings attached as well as scholarships to train thousands of Africans (e.g. 60bn USD of loans pledged in 2015 alongside scholarship programmes)

24
Q

How has China caused environmental damage in Africa and even shifted some of its carbon footprint onto Africa in some instances?

A

China has moved some environmental damaging industries (e.g. steel, cement and leather tanning) from China to Africa causing concern in some African countries. In 2014, one Chinese steel company decided to build a steelworks in South Africa - creating employment, but also air and water pollution. China has also invested in Ethiopia’s highly polluting leather industry.

25
Q

How has the growth of China stressed Asian relations?

A

Taiwan - Old Chinese government moved to Taiwan post-civil war in 1949 and established the Republic of China in Taiwan. Both China and Taiwan both claim to be the true China and no peace treaty has ever been signed with tensions flaring. China still insists Taiwan is still a Chinese province.

Tibet - Tibetans are still struggling for independence from Beijing. Atheist CCP is still suppressing Tibetan buddhism, language, identity… and in attempts to cement power has encourage Han Chinese migration into Tibet explicitly and via Chinese industrial investment and the development of high speed rail connecting E China and Tibet. Similar situation with the Uighurs of Xinjiang.

Japan - Tensions improved post-WW2 with extensive trade, but they are rivals in E Asia with Japan developing an American capitalist model post-war.

India - Relations have been tense based on historical border disputes with both countries maintaining a military presence along the Himalayan borders. India also suspicious of China’s good relations with Pakistan and China is equally concerned about India’s military interest in the S China Sea. However, both are BRICS nations and relations seem to have been improving in the 21stC as both countries are emerging as dominant powers on the international stage.

26
Q

Which region of the globe is proving to be the most geopolitically troublesome in recent years?

A

The middle east. Tensions in the Middle East present an ongoing challenge to superpowers and emerging powers due to complex geopolitical relations, alongside the key role they play in global energy supply. Sources of conflict:
-Palestine vs Israel (almost all regional countries only recognise Palestine with an aggressive anti-Israeli policy, except for Turkey, Jordan and Egypt who recognise both)
-Younger people vs older people (young people significantly more literate than the older generation - the educated young are increasingly challenging the authoritarian style of gov’t that is the current status quo in the region - e.g. 2010-12 Arab Spring)
-War in Syria (so many factions with different powers and groups backing different factions with money and resources flowing in from across the world and region making the war worse and worse - symptomatic of divisions in the region - Kurds vs Gov’t (backed by Iran and Russia) vs Rebels (backed by Saudi and US) vs ISIS…)
-Energy resources (energy rich region BUT access to oil and gas resources and pipelines have long been a source of conflict and diplomatic tension with superpower involvement as they rely on Middle Eastern oil and energy security + Qatar has loads of oil ad gas but Yemen is very poor and has basically none)
-Religious divisions (Sunni Islam is majority with just over 50% in the region being adherents and it is the religion of the Gulf States, Saudi, N Africa, Turkey… but Shia Islam is also important and is dominant in Iran, Eastern Iraq and the Syrian coast + coptic/orthodox Christian concentrations in Egypt in and the Levant + Jews in Israel/Palestine)

27
Q

What major economic problem is the US and EU still facing?

A

Debt, unemployment and government cuts. 2008 banking crisis – led to debt in Eurozone (debt is 90% of GDP) and US (over 100% of national income). Unemployment (10% in Eurozone in 2016 and 22% of young people + US suffered from Rust Belt deindustrialisation) and slow growth in following years - policies of austerity still affect the public. Both are quite resource insecure (water in the southern US + energy in Europe with a reliance on Russian gas).

28
Q

What social problems is the EU facing?

A

-Migrant crisis (especially since Syria migration to Europe) Created tensions within and between countries – rise of far right politics. Growth of the EU (2010) also fuelled this and further right, nationalist, movements have become more mainstream - e.g. UKIP (UK), National Front (France) and AfD (Germany)
-Ageing population = more pressure on healthcare/pensions/taxes + fewer workers relatively. By 2025 20% of EU citizens will be over 65 and population will fall by 2035.

29
Q

What political problem is the US and EU both facing?

A

Populism (Trump and Brexit)

Rise of populism, as a result of globalisation, deindustrialisation, rise of china and migration. Has resulted in a protectionist (American first) economic policy in the home of economic military? Has led to questions over US position in world e.g. environmental position (abandoned Paris accords)/ trade/ military position (anti-interventionist). US politics is more polarised than ever. Race relations are also strained and so iis the effects of an unsustainable healthcare system.

Brexit in UK caused by rise of populism with the scapegoating of migrants, building anger at economic recession and globalisation. Created a new UK-EU economic relationship (EU lost world’s 6th biggest economy from single market) and instability in both but mainly the EU with other anti-EU figures rising like Le Pen and Wilders, whilst Macron and Rutte are pro-integration.

30
Q

Why is military spending as a % of GDP falling in Western Europe?

A

UK and EU nations struggled to reconcile increased military spending and austerity and difficult military campaigns (e.g. Iraq) have dented confidence in effectiveness of traditional Western military strategies.

31
Q

Which country is the highest spender on their military?

A

The US spends more than any country on Earth on its military to maintain its position of international military dominance.

The USA has maintained superpower status by being the country that intervened in times of trouble (Iraq 2003, Libya 2011, Afghanistan 2001…) and the country that is allies and the world turns to for help and military assistance.

32
Q

How big is the US space budget? Why?

A

NASA’s 2021 budget was $23.3bn.

In the cold war the Space Race was considered important because it showed the world which country had the best science, technology, and economy + rocket technology was becoming increasingly important in the conventional military.

33
Q

What are 5 ways that superpowers can maintain global military power (beyond standard footsoldiers)?

A

-Naval power
-Nuclear weapons
-Air power
-Strong intelligence service
-Space exploration success

34
Q

What are the benefits of a strong navy for the UK?

A

High tech ships can act in diverse situations from anti-piracy ops, hunting drug runners (or human traffickers) or delivering humanitarian assistance.

35
Q

What are the costs of naval power for the UK?

A

Debate whether to have lots of low cost ships or few very high tech ships to provide a variety of services from anti-piracy to delivering humanitarian assistance - UK currently has just 6 of the latest tech destroyers as of 2016. Despite desires for further naval expansion, %GDP spent on defence has halved since the Falklands.

36
Q

What are the benefits of nuclear weapons for the UK and US?

A

It is a valuable deterrent from attacks from other countries with mutually assured destruction.

37
Q

What are the costs of nuclear weapons for the UK and US?

A

-US programme costs $80bn
-Issue in UK is that US defence industries are the main beneficiaries
-In UK cost of upgrading Trident will cost between 100 and 250 billion USD over 50 years
-Submarines as well as weapons are very expensive, cost of protecting them in port is high and so is the cost of decommissioning them
-In UK Labour Corbynites and the Green Party are strongly opposed to nuclear weapons (source of political divide?)

38
Q

What are the benefits of air power for the UK and US?

A

Current warfare is about rapid response air power > naval size. Increasingly important (e.g. bombing of Libya 2011 and a decade of bombing of Syria).

39
Q

What are the costs of air power for the UK and US?

A

Research and development needed to upgrade is very expensive (whilst military budgets are being cut in the UK). E.g. 10 new aircraft carriers for the US each cost $10.5bn.

40
Q

What are the benefits of intelligence services for the UK and US?

A

More necessary post 9/11 so spending more worthwhile. Many successes, such as uncovering of terrorist plots across Europe before terrorists could strike. Helps UK and US stay one step ahead of everyone else across the globe.

41
Q

What are the costs of intelligence services for the UK and US?

A

Over $80billion allocated to CIA operations over 2022. Requires advanced technology and is very labour intensive = high cost.

42
Q

What are the benefits of space exploration for the US?

A

Allows US to appear as a leader in science and research (demonstrates human capital)

43
Q

What are the likely 3 possible futures (in terms of polarity)?

A

-Unipolar world with US dominance
-Multipolar world with emerging powers establishing regional dominance across the globe
-Bipolar world with US vs China

44
Q

What would lead to a unipolar US world?

A

-Dependent on China facing an economic crisis (similar to Japan’s in early 90s) causing its rapid growth to cease
-Dependent of restoration of a strong European-US relationship
-Dependent on US openness to international trade (not protectionism) and a continued global military role

45
Q

What would lead to a multipolar world with emerging powers? What would it be like?

A

It would be a driverless (G-zero) world with Russia, China… all establishing their own spheres of influence (a regional mosaic?). Would it be unstable with no global police?

Dependent on a US decline and a withdrawal from global police role and interventionism, also dependent on the EU creating a sphere separate to the US and both the US and EU declining economically in relativity to emerging powers.

46
Q

What would lead to a US vs China bipolar world?

A

-China establishing a strong sphere of influence in Africa and Asia and the continued expansion of neocolonialism
-USA declining in relativity to China
-Nations across the globe start to pick a side to establish strong relations with (cold war type situation)

It would be a cold war type situation across the globe.